NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	3.4 [1120]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): +14.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	1.3 [921]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -13.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.00	0.04	13	74%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	-0.05	10	10%	-0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	7	94%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	56%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	7	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	9	80%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	29.2	18.7	22.6	3.0	33.4	134.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.1%

CLE +4.8%

CLE +9.7%

CHI -11.5%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.4	98.9	121.5	104.5
season	14.5	16.0		103.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	15.9	14.9	14.2	14.6
CLE	16.4	15.4	17.1	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	13.6	14.8	-1.13	18.3	15.7	2.55
Viktor Khryapa	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	13.6	14.8	-1.13	18.3	15.7	2.55
Malik Allen	23	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-14	9	15.3	14.4	0.89	14.0	16.6	-2.51
Chris Duhon	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-11	3	13.6	15.2	-1.67	16.0	16.0	-0.08
Ben Gordon	47	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-6	-7	14.7	14.5	0.22	15.4	16.6	-1.29
Andres Nocioni	43	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-8	-3	15.0	14.3	0.63	15.6	16.4	-0.73
Ben Wallace	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-13	7	15.0	14.2	0.80	16.8	15.0	1.84
P.J. Brown	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-7	-5	15.3	13.9	1.44	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Thabo Sefolosha	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-12	5	14.4	14.8	-0.41	16.7	15.4	1.26
Tyrus Thomas	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-11	3	12.9	15.2	-2.27	16.6	15.8	0.78
Luol Deng	63	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	-1	-17	14.5	14.9	-0.41	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Kirk Hinrich	78	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-2	-15	15.0	13.0	1.99	15.7	17.4	-1.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.24	26	-7	33	15.7	17.4	-1.76	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Donyell Marshall	47	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	1	17	15.0	17.0	-2.02	13.7	15.6	-1.95
Anderson Varejao	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	0	19	14.8	17.2	-2.32	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Eric Snow	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	9	1	15.9	16.1	-0.22	15.2	14.1	1.09
Sasha Pavlovic	50	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	5	9	15.3	16.8	-1.52	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Damon Jones	46	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	10	-1	16.1	15.9	0.22	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Larry Hughes	52	54	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	16	-13	16.7	15.1	1.57	15.4	13.6	1.84
Drew Gooden	47	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	19	-19	17.2	14.8	2.32	15.2	14.1	1.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	38	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	17	-15	16.9	15.4	1.48	15.8	13.8	2.02
David Wesley	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	17.7	15.9	1.89	14.6	14.6	-0.06
Shannon Brown	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	18.6	15.7	2.89	12.7	14.8	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DAL 84, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
GSW 89, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%