NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	8.8 [149]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +43.3%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	3.5 [369]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -15.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.33,0.33	0.12	0.21	0.00	19	74%	0.43	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.00	7	107%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.15	-0.00	19	60%	0.24	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.32,-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	-0.04	15	30%	-0.07	3	-0.09	7	29%	-0.18

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.17	0.26	-0.00	21	70%	0.46	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.43	0.43	0.04	0.39	-0.00	12	61%	0.46	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	10	48%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.03	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.08
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	29.3	15.4	28.0	1.8	36.1	137.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +4.0%

ATL +47.4%

ATL +13.1%

NYK -13.2%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.5	107.2	109.2	101.6
season	15.6	15.1		102.6	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	14.5	15.2	15.5	15.1
ATL	12.0	14.9	13.6	18.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	41	40	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.06	13	-16	29	15.1	15.1	0.05	16.5	13.0	3.55
Lee Nailon	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.0	0.79	13.5	14.5	-1.01
Howard Eisley	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	15.6	14.7	0.81	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Kurt Thomas	79	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-12	21	15.2	14.7	0.52	15.3	11.1	4.21
Michael Doleac	7	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	14.0	15.2	-1.18	12.0	14.7	-2.67
Clar. Weatherspoon	51	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-11	19	14.3	16.0	-1.68	16.0	12.7	3.30
Charlie Ward	54	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.7	15.6	-0.84	15.5	13.1	2.41
Othella Harrington	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	12	-27	15.8	14.3	1.50	12.1	17.0	-4.90
Allan Houston	71	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.25	-14	11	-25	15.6	13.7	1.91	13.6	17.0	-3.48
Latrell Sprewell	84	85	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.47	-8	5	-13	14.7	17.9	-3.27	14.0	17.5	-3.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	69	68	1.08	-0.58	1.67	0.64	15	-12	27	14.9	13.4	1.47	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Alan Henderson	33	32	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-5	13	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.4	15.4	-1.02
Glenn Robinson	80	78	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-4	11	13.8	17.3	-3.47	15.2	14.8	0.31
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	1	1	14.9	12.3	2.55	15.2	14.7	0.50
Jason Terry	78	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	0	3	14.3	15.1	-0.82	14.7	16.4	-1.64
Theo Ratliff	73	72	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	6	-9	14.4	14.7	-0.36	15.4	14.2	1.26
Darvin Ham	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	13.3	14.5	-1.19	15.6	15.1	0.52
Jermaine Jackson	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	4	-5	13.8	14.6	-0.81	15.2	15.1	0.16
Ira Newble	47	48	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.15	-16	19	-35	14.9	14.0	0.85	15.2	15.0	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	90.1%
SEA 102, NOK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	89.9%
DAL 100, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.53,0.6,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.72,1	89.8%