inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement9.4 [81] MVPJames Posey (DEN): +52.1%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback3.6 [364] LVPRobert Pack (DEN): -21.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0.470,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.470.090.37-0.001372%0.502-0.046100%0.12
Hubert Davis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.020.00580%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Trent-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.020,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.02,-0.020.11-0.100.032558%-0.0200.00580%-0.00
Greg Buckner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00440%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01367%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Howard Eisley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00533%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Shawn Bradley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.07-0.00450%-0.021-0.0700%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.012142%-0.102-0.05887%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.14,0.520.520.010.49-0.02960%0.552-0.032100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.04-0.031462%0.1310.011100%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,0.130.13-0.100.250.011339%0.253-0.12250%-0.03
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.00874%0.101-0.04367%-0.04
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.040.040.05-0.01-0.001456%0.0400.004100%0.09
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00556%-0.0000.00683%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.08-0.001158%-0.012-0.074100%0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.09-0.100.00719%-0.1800.00250%-0.02
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21-0.21-0.09-0.13-0.00520%-0.152-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.627.515.629.11.735.1132.8
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +48.4%
DAL -20.6%
DEN +23.4%
DAL -3.1%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game15.215.515.5106.4108.5100.9
season15.215.2104.6101.4
opponent15.215.3104.1101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.712.914.715.515.2
DEN13.017.114.717.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hubert Davis51500.42-0.921.350.198-101814.715.7-0.9316.314.51.78
Howard Eisley50510.28-0.781.060.42-53-815.115.3-0.2414.017.2-3.17
Gary Trent66-0.06-0.440.390.03-31-419.014.94.0911.715.7-4.06
Loy Vaught75-0.11-0.390.280.01-42-615.915.10.7414.215.5-1.34
Christian Laettner3436-0.22-0.280.060.04-97-1616.414.51.9515.015.8-0.80
Steve Nash8283-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.425-71214.718.1-3.3415.812.83.00
Dirk Nowitzki8586-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.471-3415.016.3-1.2915.416.5-1.13
Michael Finley8586-0.580.08-0.67-0.44-53-815.512.03.5115.317.1-1.81
Greg Buckner2321-0.660.16-0.83-0.63-1-1014.915.3-0.4016.015.30.62
Shawn Bradley4746-0.860.36-1.21-0.943-5814.815.6-0.8116.814.22.62

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess83830.68-0.180.860.429-71614.720.9-6.1615.115.6-0.53
Voshon Lenard86850.60-0.100.690.368-61415.218.2-3.0415.215.00.19
George McCloud63610.59-0.090.690.426-41015.715.10.5515.614.51.10
James Posey32340.410.090.330.44-13-414.516.0-1.4215.215.10.10
Nick Van Exel52520.300.200.10-0.1415-132814.017.2-3.2016.313.72.59
Kevin Willis50520.170.33-0.160.32-57-1216.913.92.9714.915.5-0.55
Tariq Abdul-Wahad25230.130.37-0.24-0.015-3816.415.11.3214.815.3-0.51
Robert Pack16180.100.40-0.300.48-1315-2818.714.83.8812.615.8-3.23
Mark Strickland4242-0.060.56-0.62-0.0602-215.815.20.6616.214.41.80
Ryan Bowen2120-0.430.93-1.35-0.01-1416-3016.115.30.8712.415.9-3.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.53,0.6,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 104, ATL 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.58,189.8%
UTA 84, PHX 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.54,0.29,0.45,0.37,0.68,0.92,187.9%
HOU 79, UTA 830.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.34,0.25,0.45,0.78,0.84,187.9%