NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	7.8 [270]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +49.5%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	6.8 [73]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -13.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.49,0.49	0.15	0.35	0.01	16	69%	0.49	0	0.00	7	100%	0.10
Jamal Mashburn	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0.25	-0.05	0.30	0.00	31	46%	0.32	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	8	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kirk Haston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.21	-0.01	15	58%	0.29	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	14	55%	0.15	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.08
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	2	117%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	17	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.7	29.3	15.8	24.3	2.3	33.8	131.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +20.8%

NOH +1.7%

NOH +31.9%

DET -5.1%

NOH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DET	NBA	NOH	DET	NBA
this game	18.0	16.0	15.5	110.7	105.8	101.6
season	15.9	16.8		101.6	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	18.9	17.9	18.5	18.0
DET	15.3	15.4	14.9	18.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	47	48	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.56	14	-12	26	17.6	18.5	-0.91	17.7	13.7	4.02
George Lynch	57	58	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.55	12	-10	22	16.9	20.3	-3.40	16.2	15.4	0.83
Jamal Mashburn	72	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.54	8	-6	14	17.2	22.4	-5.21	16.2	14.5	1.61
David Wesley	75	75	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	17.8	19.2	-1.42	16.9	9.5	7.45
P.J. Brown	70	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-2	6	17.3	21.4	-4.17	17.1	10.7	6.32
Kirk Haston	10	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	18.0	17.9	0.05	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Robert Pack	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	17.8	18.0	-0.16	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Stacey Augmon	16	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	18.6	17.8	0.75	12.1	16.9	-4.78
Jerome Moiso	12	13	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.08	-8	10	-18	22.5	17.2	5.31	12.4	16.6	-4.20
Kenny Anderson	23	26	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.17	-9	11	-20	20.7	16.9	3.84	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Robert Traylor	33	33	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.07	-15	17	-32	20.0	16.6	3.32	12.7	18.0	-5.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	32	31	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.11	3	-5	8	16.0	15.9	0.07	19.0	17.3	1.71
Jon Barry	18	18	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.31	-5	3	-8	19.4	15.0	4.42	18.7	17.8	0.91
Chucky Atkins	27	28	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-3	4	17.0	15.5	1.53	19.1	17.4	1.68
Richard Hamilton	67	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-10	18	15.3	18.4	-3.17	17.8	18.6	-0.80
Ben Wallace	75	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-5	8	15.7	17.9	-2.24	18.3	15.7	2.56
Michael Curry	39	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	4	-10	15.8	16.1	-0.34	17.3	18.6	-1.30
Chauncey Billups	59	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.47	-3	1	-4	15.5	17.0	-1.53	17.4	19.1	-1.68
Corliss Williamson	48	44	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.59	-1	-1	0	15.8	16.2	-0.41	18.5	17.3	1.20
Clifford Robinson	65	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	8	-18	16.3	15.0	1.26	17.0	20.8	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.2%
PHX 125, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.39,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.27,0	90.1%
SAS 95, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	89.8%