NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	125		Excitement	10.6 [49]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): +33.2%
Sacramento Kings	123		Comeback	6.2 [105]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -16.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.25	-0.02	0.26	-0.01	9	44%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	-0.01	18	70%	0.23	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.08
Steve Nash	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	20	69%	0.25	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	16	59%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	20	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.08
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.22	0.03	15	72%	0.36	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	18	53%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	16	64%	0.09	5	-0.14	10	70%	-0.07
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	22	46%	-0.10	3	-0.07	8	62%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	26.5	15.7	24.4	3.3	32.3	128.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.4%

PHX +1.0%

PHX +30.5%

SAC -10.4%

PHX +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	12.2	14.2	15.5	114.7	112.8	104.0
season	13.5	14.7		112.9	108.1
opponent	15.6	16.0		106.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	12.0	11.7	12.9	12.2
SAC	12.5	15.7	14.0	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	85	83	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.51	19	-17	36	12.2	12.5	-0.31	14.6	13.0	1.63
Amar'e Stoudemire	95	95	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.42	19	-17	36	12.0	13.7	-1.71	14.8	10.3	4.49
Quentin Richardson	88	88	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.50	5	-3	8	12.5	11.0	1.57	14.4	13.5	0.84
Shawn Marion	89	89	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	0	2	12.1	12.8	-0.71	13.6	17.0	-3.49
Joe Johnson	90	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	0	2	12.3	11.7	0.65	14.5	12.6	1.97
Leandro Barbosa	20	21	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	14	-26	11.5	12.4	-0.88	13.5	14.4	-0.84
Jim Jackson	48	50	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.11	-12	14	-26	11.8	12.5	-0.73	13.2	15.1	-1.89
Steven Hunter	30	29	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.10	-13	15	-28	13.4	11.8	1.63	13.9	14.3	-0.46

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	30	30	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.09	13	-15	28	15.2	13.8	1.38	13.5	11.7	1.77
Darius Songaila	42	42	0.39	-0.89	1.27	0.18	7	-9	16	14.3	14.1	0.21	12.6	12.0	0.57
Eddie House	19	19	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	16.9	13.6	3.26	13.2	12.0	1.20
Matt Barnes	14	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-5	8	14.8	14.1	0.67	11.9	12.3	-0.42
Chris Webber	92	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.48	3	-5	8	14.0	15.3	-1.29	12.0	13.5	-1.53
Peja Stojakovic	91	91	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	4	-10	14.0	15.1	-1.02	12.0	13.3	-1.27
Mike Bibby	90	90	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.45	-7	5	-12	13.6	16.9	-3.26	12.0	13.2	-1.20
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.52	-14	12	-26	13.9	15.1	-1.15	12.0	12.8	-0.72
Brad Miller	84	85	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.58	-14	12	-26	14.4	13.7	0.68	12.3	11.9	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.39,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	90.9%
NOH 93, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.42,0	90.1%
SAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.33,0.08,0	89.6%