inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 116 Excitement11.9 [19] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +24.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 111 Comeback4.5 [208] LVPStephen Jackson (SAS): -39.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.25-0.020.260.00450%0.281-0.042100%0.02
Tony Parker0.190,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.190.010.180.001465%0.304-0.116100%0.09
Tim Duncan0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.150.050.09-0.012165%0.264-0.111377%0.10
Kevin Willis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.060.00480%0.121-0.022100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.030.01972%0.101-0.0600%0.00
Steven Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.04-0.02342%0.0200.00683%0.09
Steve Kerr-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.020.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.010,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001358%0.042-0.051090%0.04
Stephen Jackson-0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39-0.10-0.30-0.00825%-0.172-0.2200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00286%0.0900.003100%0.02
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.03-0.02747%0.0500.001100%0.01
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.01760%0.061-0.02667%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.010.001060%0.0300.00560%-0.03
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.001257%0.102-0.07475%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.23,0-0.00-0.030.03-0.002044%0.021-0.023100%0.21
Qyntel Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.27,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.02-0.11-0.012351%-0.061-0.023100%0.02
Bonzi Wells0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.011225%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game302.61.730.615.027.12.439.51.520.1440.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +61.1%
SAS +49.1%
POR -8.5%
POR -45.3%
POR -6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game16.714.615.5114.9108.8101.6
season15.716.0102.5104.3
opponent15.715.4101.896.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS14.717.017.816.020.016.7
POR16.613.012.716.714.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili41390.65-0.150.800.5050517.416.21.2212.316.1-3.80
Tony Parker75780.480.020.450.248-31116.716.70.0315.511.73.76
Tim Duncan86880.460.040.420.286-1716.617.3-0.6515.59.36.19
Bruce Bowen71730.380.120.250.2350516.617.0-0.4115.213.22.03
Malik Rose90920.320.180.130.2914-316.915.51.4114.614.50.14
Steve Kerr33320.190.31-0.120.22-16-716.716.70.0213.115.3-2.23
Kevin Willis25230.150.35-0.200.1214-317.116.60.4911.715.5-3.73
Steven Smith31300.090.41-0.320.12-16-717.316.50.7912.715.4-2.68
Stephen Jackson5355-0.210.71-0.93-0.2414-315.717.8-2.1416.013.03.02

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels25230.27-0.771.050.164-91313.215.1-1.8915.317.1-1.88
Ruben Patterson48490.02-0.520.550.020-5512.616.4-3.8217.116.30.76
Derek Anderson69720.02-0.520.530.13-4-1-314.914.00.9716.417.5-1.08
Zach Randolph911-0.04-0.460.43-0.071-6712.814.8-2.0316.316.8-0.49
Bonzi Wells3837-0.13-0.370.240.05-61-714.914.50.4315.617.3-1.72
Arvydas Sabonis2526-0.15-0.350.19-0.181-6712.815.2-2.4715.917.0-1.12
Rasheed Wallace7474-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-7915.313.02.2916.916.20.72
Qyntel Woods66-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-50-518.314.43.9417.016.70.31
Scottie Pippen8079-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.29-3-2-115.013.41.5516.816.50.21
Jeff McInnis4845-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.40-3-2-114.414.8-0.4017.216.30.88
Dale Davis7875-0.690.19-0.87-0.48-72-915.711.14.6317.215.31.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.46,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.82,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 126, SAS 1230.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.83,088.2%
SAS 112, DAL 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.77,0.84,087.7%
LAC 105, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,087.7%