inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 83 Excitement3.9 [997] MVPNene (DEN): +9.6%
Denver Nuggets 74 Comeback1.0 [1165] LVPRodney White (DEN): -12.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.04-0.041462%0.143-0.04978%0.02
Malik Rose0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.00-0.081054%0.062-0.01475%0.01
Danny Ferry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.03350%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Willis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0-0.040.00-0.04337%0.011-0.0120%-0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01250%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.05530%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.03642%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.010.051666%0.034-0.07683%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00425%-0.032-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.010.02787%0.1000.002100%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02536%-0.0300.00475%0.01
Vincent Yarbrough0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00456%0.003-0.051100%0.00
Junior Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.05733%0.013-0.051100%0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.021036%-0.042-0.03250%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.020.041566%0.056-0.135100%0.02
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.01520%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.021136%-0.054-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.832.218.727.23.433.6143.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.6%
SAS +6.0%
SAS +7.7%
SAS +6.5%
DEN -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game16.414.615.589.279.6101.6
season15.715.7102.590.4
opponent15.315.499.496.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.917.516.418.016.4
DEN15.514.615.612.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan88870.54-0.040.580.2211-21316.514.02.5314.811.03.82
Tony Parker68670.490.010.490.0814-51916.416.4-0.0015.013.61.38
Bruce Bowen68660.460.040.430.2090916.615.70.9315.213.02.26
Steven Smith46470.330.170.170.0410-11115.117.6-2.5114.314.9-0.59
Kevin Willis36370.320.180.14-0.0914-51917.116.01.0715.813.82.02
Steve Kerr36380.160.34-0.170.1609-917.115.91.2114.314.7-0.39
Malik Rose60600.130.37-0.230.37-817-2516.216.7-0.4213.716.2-2.45
Stephen Jackson1090.080.42-0.34-0.0445-114.216.7-2.4615.814.41.34
Manu Ginobili26270.070.43-0.35-0.0136-315.916.6-0.6614.114.8-0.70
Danny Ferry2727-0.100.60-0.710.25-1221-3317.216.11.1612.415.5-3.05

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Blount13120.02-0.520.540.020-9912.914.8-1.9114.216.7-2.47
Ryan Bowen3736-0.16-0.340.19-0.243-121514.114.9-0.8616.416.40.03
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2323-0.16-0.340.180.08-8-1-715.014.40.5115.016.9-1.86
Rodney White6768-0.18-0.320.15-0.356-152113.916.2-2.2516.216.8-0.60
Chris Andersen4846-0.20-0.300.11-0.17-1-8712.516.8-4.3615.317.5-2.16
Donnell Harvey3032-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-3-315.314.21.0317.415.91.59
Junior Harrington4141-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-5-4-114.814.40.4617.715.42.25
Chris Whitney5755-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-5114.215.1-0.8415.617.6-2.04
Vincent Yarbrough2424-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-134-1716.214.02.2116.516.30.19
Nene5758-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.14-6-3-315.113.71.3417.015.41.60
Juwan Howard6870-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-112-1315.910.85.1017.014.62.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 93, PHI 880.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,096.2%
PHX 98, SAC 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.7%
DAL 111, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%