NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +53.8%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	11.2 [181]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -43.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jay Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	7	59%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.05
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	17	62%	0.26	4	-0.24	3	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.43	-0.11	-0.34	-0.01	24	48%	-0.31	5	-0.12	10	90%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.15	0.39	-0.00	26	61%	0.54	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.17	0.02	22	69%	0.36	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.04
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	76%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	12	30%	-0.18	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	27.5	14.6	29.0	1.8	36.2	2.5	18.0	158.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.2%

PHX +11.1%

CHI -20.6%

PHX +27.4%

CHI -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.5	112.1	115.0	101.6
season	15.0	15.0		98.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	13.9	15.6	17.1	25.1	18.6	17.3
PHX	13.3	14.4	12.9	18.8	16.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	33	36	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.33	5	-9	14	17.4	17.3	0.15	14.7	14.6	0.16
Jamal Crawford	60	61	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-11	18	15.4	20.3	-4.97	13.2	16.9	-3.68
Fred Hoiberg	6	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	20.8	17.1	3.74	18.0	14.4	3.64
Jay Williams	39	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	20.1	15.5	4.59	17.1	13.1	3.96
Donyell Marshall	83	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.38	6	-10	16	17.2	18.1	-0.88	14.4	16.1	-1.70
Eddy Curry	33	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	8	-20	17.1	17.5	-0.39	15.2	14.3	0.89
Jalen Rose	93	92	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	17.1	20.8	-3.74	14.4	18.0	-3.64
Trenton Hassell	52	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	2	-8	15.8	19.0	-3.19	13.5	15.9	-2.48
Eddie Robinson	48	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	1	-6	18.8	15.9	2.89	15.8	13.5	2.25
Corie Blount	48	47	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.70	-7	3	-10	18.0	16.7	1.35	14.7	14.6	0.02

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	91	89	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.49	7	-3	10	14.6	15.6	-1.00	17.1	19.3	-2.20
Joe Johnson	84	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-3	10	14.5	15.2	-0.71	17.6	15.7	1.88
Bo Outlaw	97	95	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-3	10	14.7	12.3	2.39	17.5	13.5	3.98
Stephon Marbury	83	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	14.4	15.7	-1.27	17.6	16.1	1.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	7	-10	14.2	15.7	-1.42	16.8	18.8	-2.07
Jake Voskuhl	24	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	1	2	15.4	14.4	0.95	18.6	16.9	1.62
Scott Williams	7	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	17.4	14.4	2.99	16.7	17.4	-0.70
Randy Brown	17	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	15.7	14.4	1.27	16.1	17.6	-1.50
Casey Jacobsen	26	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	10	-16	14.8	14.6	0.16	17.1	17.4	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.17,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	89.6%
CHA 92, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	89.1%
IND 95, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	88.8%