NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	8.1 [235]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +19.4%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.6 [758]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -45.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.22	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kedrick Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	52%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.45	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.17,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.1,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.21,-0.31,-0.28,-0.39,-0.45	-0.18	-0.29	-0.01	31	41%	-0.30	3	-0.15	12	83%	0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	-0.00	6	75%	0.27	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.12
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	17	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	18%	-0.09	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	4	67%	-0.14	2	-0.03	4	0%	-0.24
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	14	43%	-0.16	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.4	17.6	26.4	0.8	45.6	144.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.8%

BOS -21.5%

BOS -8.7%

DET +21.4%

DET +21.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.5	93.3	96.6	101.6
season	15.6	16.8		99.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	15.1	16.6	15.1	15.7
DET	14.3	16.8	19.4	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	69	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-12	21	16.1	14.6	1.41	17.2	14.1	3.12
Vin Baker	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	2	-7	13.5	17.0	-3.51	17.5	16.1	1.43
Kedrick Brown	7	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	6	-15	15.7	15.7	-0.03	8.2	17.2	-9.06
Shammond Williams	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	6	-15	13.9	16.7	-2.73	17.8	16.0	1.77
J.R. Bremer	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-8	13	16.5	13.6	2.96	16.0	18.2	-2.12
Walter McCarty	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-3	3	15.0	17.3	-2.28	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Tony Battie	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-5	7	17.0	13.5	3.51	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Grant Long	42	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	3	-9	16.3	15.3	1.03	17.0	16.3	0.69
Paul Pierce	83	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.3	0.44	16.6	16.4	0.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	44	42	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.60	1	2	-1	17.6	15.7	1.92	16.7	14.9	1.89
Ben Wallace	76	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-2	7	16.7	16.4	0.27	15.5	16.9	-1.32
Chauncey Billups	56	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.51	-1	4	-5	17.1	15.8	1.32	15.9	15.5	0.36
Clifford Robinson	69	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	1	1	16.7	16.4	0.28	16.4	13.6	2.80
Corliss Williamson	49	50	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	-1	5	15.2	18.3	-3.15	14.4	17.5	-3.11
Richard Hamilton	59	59	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-3	9	17.6	14.7	2.84	16.0	15.2	0.87
Chucky Atkins	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	-1	5	15.8	17.1	-1.32	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Mehmet Okur	33	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	6	-9	16.4	16.7	-0.36	14.9	16.3	-1.43
Jon Barry	26	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	15.5	17.1	-1.63	16.1	15.6	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.93,0.84,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.98,0.85,1	91.8%
IND 88, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	91.7%
DEN 94, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.73,1	91.5%