NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	6.2 [543]		MVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): +17.0%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.5 [464]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -22.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	7	75%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	17	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Michael Jordan	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	14	34%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	19	47%	-0.07	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	14	35%	-0.10	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.15	0.01	13	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	10	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.04	-0.01	19	27%	-0.16	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	30.2	17.6	26.2	2.6	41.8	144.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +71.2%

WAS -23.4%

WAS -7.2%

CHI +5.1%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.5	111.5	116.9	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		100.9	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	20.9	19.0	15.2	17.5
CHI	16.4	15.2	15.2	14.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	7	8	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-13	19	21.0	17.2	3.79	17.5	15.0	2.49
Bobby Simmons	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	8.0	17.6	-9.63	0.0	15.4	-15.41
Michael Jordan	72	73	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-11	15	17.3	18.7	-1.47	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Tyronn Lue	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	17.1	18.0	-0.84	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Brendan Haywood	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	17.5	17.5	0.03	15.4	15.0	0.43
Kwame Brown	37	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	2	-11	18.8	16.6	2.16	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Jerry Stackhouse	80	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	17.6	16.7	0.87	15.6	10.3	5.26
Christian Laettner	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	17.0	19.3	-2.23	15.2	15.2	0.01
Larry Hughes	76	78	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.31	-17	10	-27	17.6	17.3	0.28	15.5	13.1	2.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	28	27	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-8	23	14.9	15.4	-0.55	19.0	16.9	2.10
Rick Brunson	56	53	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	0	7	14.7	16.1	-1.36	17.3	17.9	-0.65
Eddie Robinson	48	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	1	5	14.6	16.0	-1.46	17.3	17.8	-0.50
Jalen Rose	82	79	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.35	-2	9	-11	15.4	13.9	1.50	17.1	21.4	-4.25
Fred Hoiberg	7	8	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-2	11	13.9	15.4	-1.50	21.4	17.1	4.25
Donyell Marshall	65	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	15.4	14.8	0.55	17.0	18.9	-1.93
Trenton Hassell	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	14.8	15.7	-0.84	17.1	17.9	-0.82
Jamal Crawford	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	7	-7	15.6	15.0	0.62	18.1	17.2	0.90
Marcus Fizer	37	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	12	-17	16.1	14.7	1.40	17.5	17.5	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	6	-5	15.9	14.9	1.00	18.0	17.2	0.83
Eddy Curry	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	9	-11	16.7	15.0	1.70	17.6	17.5	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAL 97, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIA 88, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	94.0%