NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	6.7 [465]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +35.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	1.0 [951]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -25.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	13	54%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	13	77%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerome James	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	0.07	-0.12	0.02	6	85%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	7	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	14	33%	-0.12	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.24	-0.00	13	77%	0.40	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	13	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.02	8	73%	0.07	1	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	3.3	24.6	17.6	21.1	1.7	31.8	120.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +53.3%

MIN +2.5%

SEA -10.4%

MIN +1.2%

MIN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	18.2	15.5	15.5	105.8	112.9	101.6
season	16.5	14.9		101.7	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.1	19.0	18.1	18.6	18.2
MIN	12.9	17.0	16.9	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	52	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-8	11	18.1	18.3	-0.27	16.7	13.8	2.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	27	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-12	19	15.3	19.5	-4.18	16.0	15.3	0.67
Vitaly Potapenko	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	17.1	19.0	-1.89	15.9	15.2	0.77
Jerome James	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	1	-7	18.1	18.2	-0.06	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Kenny Anderson	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-5	5	18.7	17.6	1.02	16.5	14.5	1.99
Predrag Drobnjak	43	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	2	-9	20.2	16.1	4.09	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Brent Barry	54	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	16.9	20.4	-3.52	14.3	17.5	-3.22
Gary Payton	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	18.5	17.1	1.42	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Rashard Lewis	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	8	-21	19.1	13.9	5.20	15.3	16.7	-1.45

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-10	25	15.3	16.3	-0.99	19.0	14.8	4.16
Joe Smith	38	40	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-9	23	14.3	16.5	-2.20	19.3	17.1	2.22
Wally Szczerbiak	53	52	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	4	-3	16.0	14.7	1.36	17.1	19.8	-2.75
Troy Hudson	45	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-1	7	16.1	14.9	1.19	17.9	18.5	-0.59
Rasho Nesterovic	64	63	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-7	19	15.1	16.7	-1.60	18.4	17.5	0.93
Kendall Gill	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	14.1	16.7	-2.64	18.6	17.8	0.88
Rod Strickland	42	42	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	6	-7	14.8	16.2	-1.47	19.7	16.7	3.08
Anthony Peeler	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	13	-21	17.7	14.0	3.67	16.9	19.1	-2.20
Gary Trent	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	14.8	15.8	-0.94	16.0	19.1	-3.04
Marc Jackson	16	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	16	-27	19.3	14.6	4.69	16.1	18.7	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.83,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.83,0.55,0.78,0.72,1	93.0%
CHI 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	92.2%
MIA 93, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.58,1	92.1%