NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	85		Excitement	5.1 [770]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +12.4%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	8.3 [316]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -14.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.06	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	20	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	78%	0.05	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	0.05	13	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	68%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	23	63%	0.23	6	-0.14	8	62%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.5	32.5	19.5	27.3	3.4	33.5	143.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.7%

SEA -1.6%

UTA +12.3%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	17.1	16.6	15.5	100.0	107.0	101.6
season	16.5	16.3		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.0	14.3	20.4	16.9	17.1
UTA	15.7	16.3	14.9	20.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	41	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	17.3	16.8	0.45	17.7	15.6	2.11
Predrag Drobnjak	57	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-9	11	15.8	19.6	-3.75	16.3	17.3	-0.98
Calvin Booth	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	19.0	16.5	2.50	14.8	17.1	-2.29
Kenny Anderson	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	19.5	16.2	3.29	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Brent Barry	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	16.3	19.3	-3.02	17.2	14.6	2.64
Vitaly Potapenko	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	18.3	16.5	1.73	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Gary Payton	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.4	21.3	-4.84	16.5	17.6	-1.10
Rashard Lewis	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	2	-11	17.4	15.4	2.00	17.3	13.8	3.57
Desmond Mason	54	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	2	-11	17.2	16.8	0.40	16.3	17.2	-0.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	61	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	17.3	15.0	2.35	18.0	14.4	3.60
Karl Malone	77	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	16.9	14.4	2.44	17.0	17.8	-0.80
Matt Harpring	69	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	16.3	17.8	-1.42	16.6	18.6	-1.97
Greg Ostertag	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	16.7	16.6	0.12	17.7	16.4	1.34
Mark Jackson	31	29	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	0	7	16.6	16.6	0.03	17.8	16.7	1.17
John Stockton	53	54	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	5	-3	17.0	16.1	0.87	16.9	17.3	-0.36
Tony Massenburg	23	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	5	-3	17.7	16.2	1.46	20.2	16.0	4.27
Andrei Kirilenko	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	14	-21	16.8	16.4	0.38	15.6	19.2	-3.63
DeShawn Stevenson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	3.0	16.8	-13.79	0.0	17.3	-17.26
John Amaechi	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	7	-7	11.7	16.9	-5.12	11.7	17.3	-5.59
Scott Padgett	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	8	-9	13.9	17.3	-3.38	16.0	17.3	-1.30
Carlos Arroyo	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	7.5	16.8	-9.35	9.5	17.2	-7.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	93.7%
IND 92, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.66,0.52,0.7,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%
CHA 111, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1	93.3%