NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	111		Excitement	5.8 [673]		MVP	Jason Smith (WAS): +18.3%
Washington Wizards	118		Comeback	4.7 [429]		LVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): -8.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.02	10	73%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.19	-0.05	0.06	25	66%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	11	77%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	7	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	15	66%	0.21	5	-0.11	5	80%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.0	14.8	22.2	2.5	43.3	134.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +47.2%

CHA -7.3%

WAS +2.4%

WAS +5.9%

WAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	14.8	114.4	120.4	107.7
season	15.1	14.4		107.9	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	15.4	16.9	13.6	15.2
WAS	15.1	14.6	13.1	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	65	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-14	21	14.7	16.1	-1.36	14.4	14.3	0.11
Nicolas Batum	64	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-15	23	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.6	13.8	0.76
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	4	-15	16.1	14.1	2.00	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Kemba Walker	72	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-11	15	15.1	15.5	-0.40	14.5	14.0	0.47
Brian Roberts	25	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	4	-15	15.5	15.1	0.40	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Miles Plumlee	16	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	5	-17	15.9	15.0	0.90	14.8	14.3	0.52
Marvin Williams	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	6	-19	16.1	13.7	2.43	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Frank Kaminsky	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-11	15	14.5	16.1	-1.63	14.7	14.0	0.68
Marco Belinelli	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-10	13	14.4	16.1	-1.71	14.6	14.1	0.48
Jeremy Lamb	27	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	7	-21	15.4	15.1	0.36	13.6	14.6	-0.96

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	51	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	15.0	13.7	1.34	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Brandon Jennings	29	31	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-8	23	12.8	15.0	-2.17	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Bojan Bogdanovic	25	26	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-4	15	14.0	14.5	-0.43	14.8	15.3	-0.57
Marcin Gortat	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	-3	13	13.7	15.0	-1.30	16.3	14.0	2.30
Markieff Morris	42	43	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	13.9	14.7	-0.75	16.3	14.3	1.96
Jason Smith	51	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	9	-11	15.0	13.6	1.42	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Ian Mahinmi	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	9	-11	15.6	13.2	2.40	14.2	16.1	-1.88
John Wall	73	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	13	-19	14.5	14.0	0.43	15.3	14.9	0.36
Otto Porter Jr.	52	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	13.4	15.4	-2.03	15.2	15.2	-0.08
Bradley Beal	71	69	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	14	-21	14.6	13.7	0.90	15.3	14.8	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.4%
SEA 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	93.3%
POR 71, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%