NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	10.0 [62]		MVP	Howard Eisley (NYK): +42.8%
New York Knicks	84		Comeback	2.0 [429]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -44.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.21	0.02	0.19	0.00	2	75%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.12
Jerry Stackhouse	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.04	0.16	-0.01	15	58%	0.23	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.15
Etan Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	14	34%	-0.14	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.25	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25	-0.06	-0.19	-0.00	7	44%	-0.19	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	25	39%	-0.23	2	-0.12	9	78%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.43	0.43	0.08	0.35	0.00	10	65%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	4	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	13	38%	-0.16	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.04
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.45	-0.45	-0.06	-0.40	-0.01	24	41%	-0.45	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	27.2	16.7	26.2	2.5	37.4	134.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -11.3%

WAS +54.2%

WAS +11.0%

NYK -0.0%

NYK -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.5	101.1	95.5	101.6
season	16.5	15.6		100.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	20.4	16.6	16.0	16.8
NYK	15.8	15.6	16.9	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-4	13	15.8	23.8	-7.99	16.1	14.5	1.65
Charles Oakley	25	25	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-5	15	15.3	17.4	-2.16	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Jerry Stackhouse	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-2	9	16.6	19.7	-3.13	15.3	22.0	-6.71
Kwame Brown	40	41	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-1	7	18.2	15.7	2.51	16.8	15.1	1.70
Larry Hughes	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	16.3	19.0	-2.65	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Tyronn Lue	36	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	1	3	19.7	14.8	4.85	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Etan Thomas	19	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	17.1	16.8	0.28	16.5	15.7	0.84
Christian Laettner	52	50	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	10	-15	16.4	17.5	-1.13	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Brendan Haywood	38	37	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	14	-23	17.7	16.2	1.50	16.4	15.5	0.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	46	48	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.28	5	-10	15	15.4	16.4	-0.97	16.4	17.4	-1.05
Allan Houston	69	71	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-13	21	15.8	16.3	-0.53	16.3	18.9	-2.54
Kurt Thomas	49	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-11	17	16.2	15.6	0.60	17.1	16.4	0.65
Lee Nailon	10	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	1	-7	15.1	16.0	-0.90	17.5	16.7	0.82
Michael Doleac	35	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	3	-11	16.5	15.5	1.07	17.8	16.3	1.48
Othella Harrington	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	2	-9	14.9	17.1	-2.30	15.5	18.4	-2.92
Latrell Sprewell	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.3	14.0	2.32	16.2	19.5	-3.27
Clar. Weatherspoon	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-6	7	16.5	15.3	1.20	17.6	16.1	1.51
Shandon Anderson	25	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	6	-17	15.3	16.1	-0.81	20.0	15.7	4.23
Charlie Ward	43	41	-0.97	0.47	-1.43	-0.61	-12	7	-19	16.1	15.7	0.43	17.0	16.6	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, MEM 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.17,0	91.9%
NOH 96, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.45,0.42,0	91.1%
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	91.1%