NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	5.3 [748]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +14.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	1.1 [424]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -14.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Melvin Ely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.20	0.04	-0.07	20	37%	0.07	6	-0.16	3	67%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	8	50%	-0.07	3	-0.05	18	61%	-0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	7	89%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.06	-0.01	19	40%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	12	46%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	15	43%	-0.13	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	57.5	1.8	32.1	16.7	34.0	1.8	44.4	188.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.3%

LAC +18.0%

LAC +16.4%

SEA -16.2%

LAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.5	93.8	93.6	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		100.2	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	16.3	14.2	17.6	15.2
SEA	13.6	18.9	14.1	14.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-10	22	15.4	14.9	0.51	16.4	11.7	4.66
Andre Miller	93	91	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	15.3	13.3	1.98	15.2	12.0	3.16
Michael Olowokandi	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	2	-2	15.4	14.2	1.14	15.4	12.3	3.09
Tremaine Fowlkes	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-3	8	15.3	15.2	0.08	15.3	14.9	0.42
Elton Brand	73	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.6	16.5	-1.93
Corey Maggette	76	74	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.1	0.19	14.0	19.1	-5.19
Keyon Dooling	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.46	-10	12	-22	14.8	15.6	-0.83	15.3	14.9	0.36
Melvin Ely	12	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	0	2	14.2	15.4	-1.14	12.3	15.4	-3.09

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-8	14	14.2	15.7	-1.56	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Ansu Sesay	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	2.0	15.2	-13.20	0.0	15.2	-15.25
Brent Barry	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-3	4	15.3	14.8	0.46	15.2	15.3	-0.18
Predrag Drobnjak	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	16.7	14.6	2.10	16.4	14.9	1.52
Desmond Mason	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.49	9	-11	20	14.9	15.3	-0.42	15.8	14.3	1.43
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-3	4	15.0	15.2	-0.20	15.4	15.0	0.38
Vitaly Potapenko	36	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	9	-20	15.2	15.0	0.17	15.6	15.0	0.54
Kenny Anderson	48	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	11	-24	17.0	13.0	4.04	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Gary Payton	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-1	0	14.2	18.8	-4.59	15.0	16.4	-1.47
Rashard Lewis	81	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	3	-8	14.9	16.2	-1.35	15.3	15.1	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 116, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	94.2%
SAS 121, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 116, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%