NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	121		Excitement	5.1 [475]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +12.5%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.0 [655]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -24.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	10	79%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	85%	0.13	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
David Robinson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	16	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	9	22%	-0.07
Jerome Kersey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Andrew Gaze	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	84%	0.12	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Michael Hawkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	13	53%	0.03	4	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	-0.02	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	13	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	11	56%	0.01	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.20	-0.05	0.00	24	29%	-0.20	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	31.5	27.4	27.3	2.4	33.6	150.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +77.3%

SAC -12.5%

SAC -21.6%

SAS +3.7%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	15.8	116.3	109.0	99.6
season	15.9	14.1		101.1	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		100.9	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.6	14.7	13.3	15.9	14.6
SAC	14.2	14.7	13.4	12.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	85	85	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.03	25	-13	38	14.8	13.5	1.30	13.7	13.4	0.27
David Robinson	74	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.12	29	-17	46	14.8	14.1	0.68	14.2	12.1	2.03
Mario Elie	70	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.08	26	-14	40	14.9	13.9	1.05	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Sean Elliott	78	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-3	18	15.2	12.8	2.32	14.0	12.5	1.43
Tim Duncan	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.01	16	-4	20	14.3	15.5	-1.13	14.1	11.6	2.54
Malik Rose	24	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	16	-20	15.5	14.3	1.13	11.6	14.1	-2.54
Andrew Gaze	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	13.0	14.6	-1.62	5.0	13.7	-8.72
Jaren Jackson	31	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	18	-24	14.0	14.8	-0.84	14.0	13.5	0.56
Jerome Kersey	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	21	-30	12.8	15.2	-2.39	12.7	14.0	-1.32
Will Perdue	30	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.27	-17	29	-46	14.1	14.8	-0.68	12.1	14.2	-2.03
Antonio Daniels	19	15	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	25	-38	13.5	14.8	-1.30	13.4	13.7	-0.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	3	2	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-13	14	9.0	13.8	-4.77	20.0	14.5	5.52
Michael Hawkins	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	5.0	13.7	-8.72	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Jon Barry	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-13	14	12.7	14.0	-1.28	16.2	13.9	2.34
Vernon Maxwell	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-12	12	13.6	13.7	-0.06	16.2	13.7	2.56
Lawrence Funderburke	52	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-9	6	13.7	13.5	0.25	14.3	14.9	-0.55
Corliss Williamson	60	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-6	0	13.6	13.6	-0.03	13.7	15.9	-2.13
Peja Stojakovic	30	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	15.0	13.0	2.00	15.0	14.4	0.64
Chris Webber	82	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.10	-10	-2	-8	13.8	12.7	1.11	14.7	14.2	0.46
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	69	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	14.0	12.7	1.29	13.9	16.2	-2.36
Vlade Divac	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	2	-16	13.6	13.6	-0.00	14.8	14.2	0.57
Jason Williams	75	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	1	-14	13.1	15.3	-2.20	14.1	16.0	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0	95.1%
DAL 105, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
GSW 107, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.01,0	94.3%