NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	6.2 [546]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +17.4%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	2.1 [687]		LVP	Jerome Williams (TOR): -20.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.03	17	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	92%	0.09	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.06	18	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	71%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	-0.00	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	7	39%	-0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	0.00	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	16	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	15	39%	-0.04	2	-0.08	8	62%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	11	37%	-0.16	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	4	57%	-0.05	4	-0.16	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	31.3	17.2	29.4	2.7	28.3	135.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +26.1%

NOH +9.8%

TOR -2.0%

NOH +11.9%

NOH +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	17.3	15.5	113.8	93.3	101.6
season	15.9	16.2		101.6	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.3	16.2	14.0	16.4	15.2
TOR	18.4	15.8	17.9	17.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	78	80	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-4	23	14.9	18.2	-3.34	17.5	15.7	1.78
Stacey Augmon	42	43	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.01	17	-2	19	16.4	14.2	2.18	16.2	18.3	-2.09
Jamal Mashburn	75	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	0	15	14.9	17.0	-2.05	17.3	17.3	-0.02
P.J. Brown	68	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	0	15	14.5	17.7	-3.21	17.5	16.4	1.04
Jamaal Magloire	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	8	-1	14.9	15.6	-0.68	18.5	15.7	2.84
Elden Campbell	32	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	7	1	15.4	15.1	0.28	15.6	18.3	-2.72
George Lynch	8	7	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	12	-9	15.9	15.2	0.71	16.6	17.3	-0.77
Jerome Moiso	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	15	-15	17.7	14.5	3.21	16.4	17.5	-1.04
Robert Traylor	5	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	15	-15	17.0	15.1	1.88	16.3	17.3	-1.01
Courtney Alexander	50	53	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	20	-25	14.7	16.0	-1.34	17.9	16.4	1.57
Bryce Drew	8	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	19	-23	18.2	14.9	3.33	17.6	17.3	0.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	64	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-16	17	17.9	15.8	2.12	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Alvin Williams	64	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-14	13	17.6	16.5	1.04	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Jermaine Jackson	5	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-11	7	13.4	17.5	-4.11	24.0	14.9	9.08
Lindsey Hunter	39	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-10	5	16.5	17.8	-1.30	16.1	14.6	1.48
Greg Foster	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-7	-1	17.0	17.5	-0.52	16.6	14.1	2.54
Morris Peterson	50	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-7	-1	17.9	16.5	1.36	14.7	16.0	-1.34
Chris Jefferies	50	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	3	-21	16.7	18.0	-1.39	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Jelani McCoy	67	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	0	-15	17.4	17.0	0.31	14.5	17.5	-2.98
Jerome Williams	69	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	2	-19	17.2	17.4	-0.20	15.0	16.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.14,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	93.0%
ORL 92, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.02,0	92.9%
HOU 103, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	92.9%