NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	74		Excitement	5.1 [788]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): +4.9%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	2.5 [621]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -23.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Jefferies	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	25	48%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.21	-0.06	-0.03	15	12%	-0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	83%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	73%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	17	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Haston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	14	33%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	26.4	15.6	23.2	2.4	30.2	121.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +18.7%

NOH +8.0%

NOH +11.9%

NOH +10.3%

NOH +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.0	14.2	15.5	80.4	96.7	101.6
season	16.2	15.9		98.8	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	15.5	17.1	20.3	17.0
NOH	15.0	13.3	14.8	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	15.5	17.2	-1.68	12.0	14.5	-2.46
Jelani McCoy	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-17	19	16.9	17.1	-0.15	15.2	13.8	1.41
Michael Bradley	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-11	7	17.2	17.0	0.25	14.3	14.2	0.12
Vince Carter	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-13	11	16.7	18.1	-1.44	15.1	11.0	4.09
Morris Peterson	83	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-3	-9	16.8	18.9	-2.06	14.0	17.2	-3.29
Jermaine Jackson	46	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	17.2	16.9	0.24	14.6	14.0	0.61
Greg Foster	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-2	-11	16.7	17.7	-1.04	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Antonio Davis	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	0	-15	17.3	16.3	1.02	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Alvin Williams	68	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.08	-24	9	-33	17.7	15.1	2.64	13.7	15.7	-2.03

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-5	25	14.5	12.7	1.81	17.3	15.8	1.48
Stacey Augmon	30	32	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-4	23	14.2	14.3	-0.07	18.7	16.1	2.54
Jamaal Magloire	56	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	4	7	13.6	15.2	-1.55	16.5	17.8	-1.33
P.J. Brown	65	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	14.5	13.6	0.98	16.2	18.9	-2.67
Jamal Mashburn	66	65	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	9	-3	14.5	13.7	0.83	16.0	19.6	-3.68
George Lynch	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	7	1	13.6	14.5	-0.98	18.9	16.2	2.67
Elden Campbell	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	10	-5	14.7	13.8	0.86	17.7	16.4	1.24
David Wesley	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	12	-9	13.6	15.0	-1.40	16.6	17.6	-1.04
Courtney Alexander	36	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	14	-13	15.1	13.7	1.41	18.3	16.2	2.07
Robert Traylor	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	13.7	14.3	-0.62	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Kirk Haston	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.0	14.5	-2.46	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Bryce Drew	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.0	14.5	-2.46	15.5	17.2	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 93, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DEN 71, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%