NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	9.3 [104]		MVP	Travis Best (MIA): +20.2%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	9.6 [55]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -39.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2	-0.00	0.21	0.01	14	50%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	13	66%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	9	65%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	87%	-0.01
Malik Allen	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.05	-0.17	0.04	13	56%	-0.17	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	26	53%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.10	0.04	13	65%	0.07	3	-0.19	5	80%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.04	-0.24	0.04	18	49%	-0.09	3	-0.22	1	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.13	-0.26	-0.00	13	30%	-0.28	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	25.3	15.5	23.3	2.4	31.5	1.6	17.4	142.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +51.6%

MIA +12.2%

PHX -6.0%

PHX -7.2%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	16.6	15.5	105.3	95.7	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		94.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		100.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	19.6	18.8	18.4	16.8	8.5	17.0
PHX	16.4	15.5	15.2	20.2	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	58	56	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.30	20	-10	30	15.8	18.9	-3.12	17.1	15.9	1.15
Vladimir Stepania	37	35	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.28	18	-8	26	14.2	18.8	-4.58	18.2	15.7	2.49
Brian Grant	78	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-6	22	16.7	18.7	-2.03	16.7	16.1	0.61
Eddie Jones	83	83	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-5	20	17.1	16.5	0.62	16.9	14.5	2.33
Caron Butler	80	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	6	-2	16.5	19.8	-3.27	16.3	18.1	-1.74
Eddie House	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	9	-8	18.3	16.5	1.80	16.6	16.6	-0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	31	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	16	-22	19.6	15.8	3.86	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Malik Allen	44	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.07	-8	18	-26	18.2	16.0	2.17	15.6	17.5	-1.89
Mike James	37	38	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.09	-10	20	-30	18.9	15.8	3.12	15.9	17.1	-1.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Ford	4	4	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-13	16	16.2	16.6	-0.37	17.7	17.0	0.74
Joe Johnson	26	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-11	12	14.6	17.4	-2.75	15.3	17.7	-2.39
Bo Outlaw	51	49	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.11	-3	-7	4	15.7	17.7	-2.05	18.9	15.1	3.83
Dan Langhi	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	16.7	16.6	0.06	29.3	16.6	12.69
Jake Voskuhl	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	16.7	16.6	0.06	29.3	16.6	12.69
Casey Jacobsen	23	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.9	17.5	-3.57	13.7	18.2	-4.51
Anfernee Hardaway	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	17.6	14.0	3.55	17.4	16.0	1.43
Stephon Marbury	89	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	16.5	18.4	-1.89	16.7	22.7	-6.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	16.8	15.4	1.42	16.7	19.4	-2.71
Scott Williams	40	42	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	-2	-6	18.9	14.9	3.99	17.5	16.6	0.91
Shawn Marion	82	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	1	-12	16.6	16.8	-0.26	16.8	18.8	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.33,0.29,0.67,0.83,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.33,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	88.6%
CHA 114, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.76,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	88.3%
MIL 113, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.08,0	87.8%