NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	3.9 [1000]		MVP	Damon Jones (SAC): +10.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	1.2 [559]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): -12.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	65%	0.09	6	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	8	40%	-0.07	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Keon Clark	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	27%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	76%	0.09	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	18	47%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Joseph Forte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	18	60%	0.07	5	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	58.9	2.5	25.5	16.6	26.2	2.4	23.6	155.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.2%

SEA +8.8%

SEA +6.9%

SAC -0.7%

SAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	15.5	97.0	108.8	101.6
season	14.0	16.5		104.4	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.6	13.9	14.1	12.2	14.0
SEA	12.7	12.8	13.6	19.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-20	26	12.6	14.8	-2.17	17.2	12.9	4.25
Lawrence Funderburke	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-15	16	13.6	14.1	-0.52	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Doug Christie	68	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-5	-4	14.2	13.4	0.84	13.4	16.8	-3.41
Keon Clark	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-12	10	12.7	15.1	-2.45	16.3	12.9	3.41
Vlade Divac	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	15.1	12.7	2.45	12.9	16.3	-3.41
Damon Jones	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-8	2	13.1	14.8	-1.72	16.0	13.2	2.81
Chris Webber	79	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	1	-16	14.1	13.6	0.52	14.6	14.3	0.29
Bobby Jackson	67	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	1	-16	14.7	12.6	2.10	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Hedo Turkoglu	78	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	4	-22	14.4	12.6	1.72	13.5	18.4	-4.95

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	81	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-4	22	14.4	15.0	-0.65	14.7	11.1	3.65
Vladimir Radmanovic	68	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-5	24	13.8	16.0	-2.21	15.0	11.9	3.05
Desmond Mason	73	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-1	16	15.2	12.8	2.38	14.2	13.6	0.59
Gary Payton	85	84	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	4	6	14.1	16.8	-2.68	13.5	16.2	-2.70
Predrag Drobnjak	81	80	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	8	-2	14.2	16.0	-1.79	14.4	12.2	2.23
Rashard Lewis	71	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	7	0	14.8	13.9	0.85	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Calvin Booth	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	6	2	16.7	13.9	2.85	13.2	14.2	-1.05
Joseph Forte	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	15.4	14.5	0.92	11.0	14.1	-3.14
Ansu Sesay	14	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	18	-22	14.8	14.5	0.30	10.8	14.4	-3.60
Reggie Evans	9	9	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	19	-24	14.8	14.5	0.27	11.1	14.3	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
VAN 89, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%