NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	89		Excitement	3.3 [1083]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): +9.0%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	1.4 [1046]		LVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): -8.0%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	20	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Brent Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	20%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	17	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	15	66%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	5	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	12%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	52%	0.02	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	29.5	16.5	28.2	1.8	26.0	127.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.3%

HOU +7.9%

HOU +9.8%

HOU +4.6%

VAN -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.5	97.8	112.8	100.9
season	15.6	16.3		97.4	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.2	15.4	16.5	14.0	15.0
HOU	15.8	14.6	14.3	20.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	10.6	15.5	-4.94	19.2	15.7	3.45
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-19	21	16.9	14.8	2.13	21.8	15.5	6.26
Bryant Reeves	31	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-27	37	13.5	15.8	-2.35	18.3	14.9	3.41
Grant Long	42	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-21	25	14.5	15.4	-0.97	18.2	14.5	3.71
Stromile Swift	20	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-11	5	14.1	15.3	-1.15	16.4	16.0	0.38
Damon Jones	83	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	14.8	17.5	-2.74	16.2	15.0	1.21
Mike Bibby	67	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	3	-23	15.2	14.3	0.91	15.1	19.3	-4.22
Othella Harrington	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	8	-33	15.7	13.5	2.19	14.7	18.8	-4.13
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-6	-5	15.7	13.6	2.14	15.6	17.1	-1.55
Michael Dickerson	70	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.25	-28	11	-39	15.4	13.6	1.86	15.3	19.2	-3.92

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-2	21	15.9	17.0	-1.14	15.5	13.2	2.31
Hakeem Olajuwon	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	-3	23	15.4	16.7	-1.29	16.2	13.9	2.30
Cuttino Mobley	77	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	-4	25	15.4	19.5	-4.17	15.4	13.2	2.24
Maurice Taylor	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	15.1	17.1	-2.06	15.5	14.5	1.01
Shandon Anderson	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	0	17	15.2	17.2	-2.06	15.9	13.9	2.09
Walt Williams	42	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	13	-9	16.5	15.8	0.69	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Moochie Norris	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	15	-13	16.6	15.5	1.07	14.3	15.9	-1.63
Carlos Rogers	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	18	-19	18.0	15.2	2.77	13.6	15.7	-2.14
Dan Langhi	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	19.2	15.7	3.59	11.3	15.5	-4.24
Jason Collier	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	19.2	15.7	3.45	10.6	15.5	-4.94
Kenny Thomas	31	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	20	-23	17.3	15.5	1.80	14.7	15.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
IND 89, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 105, WAS 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%