NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	7.0 [412]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +13.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	17.8 [194]		LVP	Howard Eisley (NYK): -15.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	22	54%	0.17	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	20	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.07
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	55%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	6	92%	0.13	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	9	30%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.07
Howard Eisley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	8	19%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.10	0.03	13	71%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.11	-0.02	16	47%	0.19	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.14	0.12	-0.03	30	47%	0.16	5	-0.16	14	79%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	3	57%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	27.2	16.8	32.1	2.4	36.6	144.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.3%

PHI +0.4%

PHI +6.6%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	14.0	15.5	83.5	93.3	101.6
season	15.6	15.3		102.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.4	15.4	12.2	15.1	13.7
PHI	13.8	14.0	14.9	13.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	12.7	13.9	-1.11	10.6	14.4	-3.82
Charlie Ward	43	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-14	16	13.7	13.8	-0.09	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Othella Harrington	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-1	-10	14.7	13.1	1.67	12.2	15.1	-2.89
Kurt Thomas	74	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-12	12	13.3	14.9	-1.63	14.3	13.2	1.11
Frank Williams	5	4	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-4	-4	23.0	13.3	9.74	6.7	14.2	-7.50
Travis Knight	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	0	-12	14.9	13.3	1.63	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	83	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-6	0	13.3	15.5	-2.26	14.7	10.7	4.00
Howard Eisley	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-3	-6	13.7	13.7	-0.00	14.1	13.7	0.48
Allan Houston	92	94	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	13.2	17.7	-4.48	14.3	11.2	3.11
Shandon Anderson	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-7	2	13.8	13.5	0.33	14.7	12.4	2.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	67	66	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.20	17	-5	22	13.5	14.7	-1.17	13.7	13.7	0.04
Keith Van Horn	84	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-5	22	14.2	13.0	1.20	14.0	12.6	1.39
Greg Buckner	52	50	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	-1	14	13.0	14.9	-1.83	13.9	13.6	0.33
Allen Iverson	93	93	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	3	6	14.5	9.5	5.04	13.9	12.5	1.36
Aaron McKie	84	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	5	2	13.8	14.7	-0.94	13.8	13.3	0.56
Art Long	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	10	-8	12.3	14.6	-2.24	14.1	13.6	0.52
Eric Snow	84	82	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	5	2	14.1	13.3	0.79	13.4	14.9	-1.42
John Salmons	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	12.5	14.0	-1.49	10.5	13.8	-3.29
Todd MacCulloch	31	31	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	24	-36	15.7	13.2	2.48	12.6	14.2	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.64,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 112, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.91,1	91.2%
ATL 98, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.0%
NYK 104, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.76,0.94,0.77,0.91,1	90.9%