NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	81		Excitement	4.7 [868]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +4.1%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.2 [870]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -13.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	73%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	0.06	11	59%	0.00	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-0.10	25	38%	-0.08	2	-0.06	18	89%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	21	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	9	44%	-0.05
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.01	19	49%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kedrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	9	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	26.4	16.5	29.3	2.5	27.2	129.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.4%

LAL -8.2%

BOS +14.0%

BOS +3.8%

LAL -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.6	85.3	105.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		106.9	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	17.6	13.3	14.9	15.2
BOS	14.2	15.1	14.4	17.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	17	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-17	16	16.9	14.8	2.17	14.7	15.4	-0.78
Slava Medvedenko	34	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-18	18	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.2	15.4	-0.13
Derek Fisher	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-14	10	14.5	16.1	-1.52	14.2	16.9	-2.79
Kobe Bryant	77	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-5	-8	14.6	17.6	-2.96	15.0	16.9	-1.95
Samaki Walker	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-15	12	15.6	14.8	0.86	14.2	16.4	-2.23
Brian Shaw	24	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-8	-2	14.3	15.5	-1.16	17.9	14.5	3.43
Devean George	50	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-6	-6	14.7	15.7	-1.05	16.4	14.2	2.24
Rick Fox	57	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-2	-14	15.1	15.2	-0.09	14.8	16.2	-1.45
Mitch Richmond	16	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-10	2	19.4	14.3	5.15	17.6	14.8	2.84
Mark Madsen	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-2	-14	16.2	14.5	1.65	16.6	14.6	2.08
Robert Horry	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-11	4	15.1	15.3	-0.17	15.2	15.7	-0.56

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	84	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-6	30	14.9	18.7	-3.78	15.5	12.8	2.68
Paul Pierce	81	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.16	24	-6	30	15.6	13.8	1.71	15.7	12.4	3.35
Eric Williams	47	48	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-2	22	13.0	17.7	-4.68	16.0	14.3	1.62
Kenny Anderson	61	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.29	21	-3	24	14.3	17.2	-2.82	15.6	14.4	1.28
Rodney Rogers	33	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	12	-6	17.4	14.2	3.15	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Erick Strickland	33	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	21	-24	17.2	14.3	2.82	14.4	15.6	-1.28
Tony Battie	53	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	11	-4	14.7	16.1	-1.47	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Vitaly Potapenko	19	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	21	-24	15.6	15.3	0.33	16.2	14.8	1.33
Kedrick Brown	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	15.7	15.3	0.36	12.0	15.3	-3.30
Walter McCarty	56	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	19	-20	16.8	13.1	3.76	13.9	17.1	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 93, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAS 94, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%