NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	10.0 [47]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +19.9%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	4.1 [237]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -39.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.09,0.06,0.2	-0.03	0.23	-0.00	21	58%	0.35	5	-0.16	8	62%	-0.04
Devean George	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	5	90%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	14	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	87%	0.20	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	7	21%	-0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.17,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	13	54%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	15	50%	0.03	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	13	56%	0.01	6	-0.21	6	67%	-0.09
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.07	-0.21	-0.00	7	50%	-0.22	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.09
Chris Webber	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.34,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.4	-0.40	-0.14	-0.24	0.02	26	41%	-0.27	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	30.1	18.4	24.5	3.4	38.4	146.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +104.8%

SAC -3.5%

SAC -51.8%

SAC -5.1%

LAL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	15.6	99.0	97.0	102.3
season	15.3	14.2		106.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	15.1	14.9	18.3	15.9
SAC	12.8	13.7	13.3	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	43	44	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-7	15	15.3	16.3	-0.99	14.0	12.9	1.13
Derek Fisher	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-6	13	15.4	17.8	-2.35	13.8	11.5	2.38
Brian Shaw	33	34	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-10	21	16.8	15.4	1.49	13.3	13.5	-0.20
Slava Medvedenko	20	19	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-4	9	15.6	15.9	-0.32	13.9	13.3	0.62
Shaquille O'Neal	72	73	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	-5	11	16.3	14.5	1.79	13.6	12.7	0.95
Rick Fox	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.40	-7	8	-15	16.0	15.7	0.33	12.8	14.2	-1.44
Robert Horry	73	73	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.41	-10	11	-21	15.7	16.2	-0.51	13.1	14.3	-1.19
Samaki Walker	30	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	0	1	15.7	15.9	-0.18	13.5	13.4	0.08
Kobe Bryant	77	77	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.38	-10	11	-21	15.7	16.4	-0.73	13.3	13.6	-0.25
Lindsey Hunter	6	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	7	-13	18.2	15.7	2.46	10.0	13.7	-3.69

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	70	69	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-9	17	13.1	14.1	-1.00	15.5	16.7	-1.23
Doug Christie	84	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-8	15	13.5	13.0	0.46	15.7	16.7	-0.96
Bobby Jackson	52	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	2	-5	14.1	12.6	1.56	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Hedo Turkoglu	86	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-1	1	13.2	14.6	-1.41	15.8	16.0	-0.16
Scot Pollard	28	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	8	-17	14.4	13.0	1.39	17.3	15.3	2.05
Chris Webber	92	92	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	2	-5	13.1	17.6	-4.50	15.8	16.2	-0.33
Mike Bibby	83	83	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.61	-5	4	-9	13.3	13.8	-0.50	15.9	15.4	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.78,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.68,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	90.1%
LAL 90, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.31,0.27,0	89.7%
SAC 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.69,0.42,0	89.7%