NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	70		Excitement	5.1 [786]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (BOS): +8.1%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.8 [928]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -31.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.04	0.07	7	75%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.23	-0.02	-0.13	9	14%	-0.10	4	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	12	39%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.31,-0.31,-0.3,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.23	-0.09	-0.00	14	29%	-0.17	6	-0.14	3	33%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.04	16	47%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	76%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	0.07	16	59%	0.01	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	18	45%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	25.3	14.8	24.3	2.6	29.3	121.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.9%

CLE -0.3%

CLE -8.7%

BOS +20.9%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	17.6	13.7	15.6	76.1	104.3	102.3
season	15.8	15.0		102.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	18.8	18.5	17.6	17.6
BOS	14.3	13.9	14.2	12.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-27	28	19.3	17.4	1.90	15.4	13.5	1.91
Andre Miller	69	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.24	-12	-14	2	18.0	16.6	1.39	14.1	12.5	1.62
Brian Skinner	38	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-22	18	17.6	17.6	-0.10	14.2	13.3	0.84
Wesley Person	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-21	16	18.2	16.9	1.30	14.3	13.0	1.26
Jumaine Jones	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.35	-19	-7	-12	17.7	17.5	0.17	13.1	14.1	-0.96
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-19	12	18.7	17.1	1.54	13.7	13.7	0.06
Bryant Stith	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.36	-20	-6	-14	17.9	17.4	0.49	12.7	14.5	-1.79
Trajan Langdon	20	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-18	10	15.4	18.2	-2.82	14.4	13.5	0.90
Ricky Davis	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	-3	-20	17.3	18.1	-0.78	12.6	15.4	-2.87
Lamond Murray	55	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-15	4	17.7	17.4	0.29	14.1	13.2	0.89
Chris Mihm	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.20	-22	-4	-18	16.7	19.5	-2.83	13.6	13.8	-0.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	62	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	11	4	14.8	11.5	3.26	16.5	20.0	-3.44
Antoine Walker	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.31	27	-1	28	13.4	16.4	-3.05	18.1	12.9	5.18
Paul Pierce	79	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.30	25	1	24	13.6	14.5	-0.89	18.2	13.0	5.23
Kenny Anderson	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.39	25	1	24	12.8	16.2	-3.46	18.6	14.9	3.70
Rodney Rogers	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.35	23	3	20	13.1	14.1	-0.99	18.2	17.2	0.99
Tony Battie	31	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	22	-18	13.6	13.7	-0.08	17.0	18.0	-1.00
Erick Strickland	33	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.35	17	9	8	12.0	14.6	-2.60	17.7	17.5	0.20
Eric Williams	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	28	-30	14.7	13.3	1.44	17.0	17.9	-0.90
Walter McCarty	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	17.9	13.3	4.58	12.6	18.0	-5.45
Mark Blount	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	17.6	13.4	4.19	12.6	18.0	-5.45
Kedrick Brown	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	17.9	13.3	4.58	12.6	18.0	-5.45
Vitaly Potapenko	16	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	26	-26	12.9	13.9	-0.92	19.9	17.2	2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.61,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 100, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MEM 95, NOP 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%