inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 77 Excitement4.6 [860] MVPDan Majerle (MIA): +8.5%
Miami Heat 109 Comeback1.3 [964] LVPMatt Maloney (HOU): -15.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.03975%0.101-0.02683%0.03
Emanual Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Brent Price-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011644%-0.041-0.04250%-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.06521%-0.052-0.03425%-0.03
Matt Bullard-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.001229%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.04-0.04739%-0.023-0.07475%0.01
Eddie Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.01-0.03623%-0.053-0.051100%0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon-0.110,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.03-0.041343%-0.043-0.08956%-0.00
Matt Maloney-0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.030.00928%-0.063-0.0900%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.170.000.091379%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Marty Conlon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00567%0.0600.002100%0.00
Eric Murdock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01662%0.051-0.024100%0.01
Antonio Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01267%0.0010.002100%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.060.000.08487%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.05237%-0.022-0.01475%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01962%0.034-0.08875%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.000.05847%-0.0600.003100%-0.02
Mark Strickland0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.041250%0.054-0.10250%-0.02
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.021542%-0.052-0.041100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.729.816.827.01.838.2139.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +43.6%
HOU -3.9%
HOU -6.9%
MIA +21.5%
HOU -4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMIANBAHOUMIANBA
this game16.112.715.675.5112.4102.5
season15.715.8104.5104.7
opponent16.215.299.8105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU17.015.817.414.516.1
MIA12.313.612.912.212.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emanual Davis16160.00-0.500.500.21-7-251811.117.1-6.0210.713.1-2.44
Rodrick Rhodes4038-0.00-0.500.500.23-8-241614.117.4-3.2712.412.9-0.54
Brent Price2423-0.05-0.450.400.30-12-20817.415.81.6212.512.8-0.32
Eddie Johnson4847-0.09-0.410.330.53-21-11-1015.916.3-0.4213.212.20.99
Othella Harrington5853-0.21-0.290.090.35-19-13-615.916.5-0.6413.112.30.82
Kevin Willis6360-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-19617.314.23.0912.812.50.34
Matt Bullard5956-0.41-0.09-0.320.15-19-13-615.716.7-0.9311.514.4-2.85
Matt Maloney6561-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-16-16016.715.11.6113.012.20.75
Hakeem Olajuwon6966-0.45-0.05-0.410.19-22-10-1216.216.10.1113.211.61.58
Mario Elie6865-0.500.00-0.500.17-23-9-1417.114.22.9013.012.20.75

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard62670.52-0.020.540.021715213.211.91.2216.914.62.30
Dan Majerle75770.490.010.47-0.1622101212.912.00.9917.213.04.21
Mark Strickland69740.480.020.46-0.1622101212.214.1-1.9515.517.8-2.32
Eric Murdock27310.360.140.21-0.2621111014.112.21.8716.216.10.03
Alonzo Mourning70720.310.190.12-0.071319-613.311.31.9217.313.34.02
Tim Hardaway67700.210.29-0.08-0.291715212.812.50.3217.213.83.43
Marty Conlon26290.170.33-0.16-0.151121-1013.812.31.5417.215.71.54
Antonio Lang12110.000.50-0.50-0.21725-189.413.2-3.7711.816.7-4.84
Rex Walters16160.000.50-0.50-0.21725-1810.713.1-2.4411.117.1-6.02
Duane Causwell3434-0.010.51-0.53-0.481616012.213.0-0.8413.717.4-3.69
Brent Barry2729-0.020.52-0.54-0.23725-1811.813.1-1.2613.917.0-3.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 81, MIA 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
CHA 80, ATL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
DAL 78, MIN 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,195.6%