NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	5.3 [738]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +15.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	1.6 [647]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -21.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.01	4	110%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.05	6	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	23	55%	0.06	4	-0.05	9	67%	-0.03
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Dwyane Wade	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	0.01	10	27%	-0.11	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,0,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.09	-0.03	9	64%	0.23	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	8	67%	0.09	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	79%	0.17	6	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	16	53%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	34.4	17.7	31.1	3.5	39.3	154.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.0%

LAC +10.0%

LAC +10.1%

MIA -6.9%

MIA -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.4	102.0	110.3	104.1
season	15.7	15.6		110.2	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		102.8	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.7	14.2	18.5	13.1	14.5
LAC	15.0	14.0	15.0	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-14	21	11.3	14.6	-3.25	26.7	14.6	12.19
Terrel Harris	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-14	21	11.3	14.6	-3.25	26.7	14.6	12.19
Joel Anthony	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-19	31	10.6	15.0	-4.44	18.4	14.5	3.84
Norris Cole	26	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-14	21	13.7	14.8	-1.12	15.5	14.9	0.63
Chris Bosh	61	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	1	-9	14.3	14.7	-0.40	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Rashard Lewis	31	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.15	-10	3	-13	15.3	14.1	1.19	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Ray Allen	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.3	16.0	-1.77
Dwyane Wade	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	8	-23	15.3	13.1	2.20	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Mario Chalmers	60	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	14.3	14.8	-0.55	14.6	15.7	-1.04
Shane Battier	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	2	-11	15.2	13.7	1.41	15.1	15.0	0.12
Udonis Haslem	41	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-8	9	14.4	14.5	-0.15	15.0	15.1	-0.11
LeBron James	86	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	8	-23	14.3	15.5	-1.16	14.8	16.4	-1.60

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	35	35	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	14.1	15.6	-1.48	15.3	14.0	1.30
Willie Green	40	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	15.2	15.0	0.24	15.3	14.0	1.32
Chris Paul	61	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-6	19	15.5	14.2	1.29	14.5	14.4	0.17
Matt Barnes	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	4	-1	14.9	15.3	-0.44	14.4	14.6	-0.29
Blake Griffin	59	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-1	9	15.7	14.1	1.57	14.9	13.8	1.12
Lamar Odom	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	13.7	15.8	-2.06	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Jamal Crawford	48	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	8	-9	14.9	15.2	-0.25	14.1	14.9	-0.86
Caron Butler	51	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	15.3	14.8	0.45	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Eric Bledsoe	36	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.25	-6	13	-19	14.2	15.5	-1.29	14.4	14.5	-0.17
DeAndre Jordan	53	55	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	15.2	14.9	0.24	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	17	-27	18.2	14.6	3.54	9.6	15.0	-5.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 70, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.61,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 111, DEN 134	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
HOU 102, LAL 119	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%