NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	79		Excitement	4.8 [857]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +14.5%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.3 [845]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -16.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	80%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	18	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	15	41%	-0.12	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	7	75%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	86%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	15	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.21	-0.02	-0.07	24	39%	-0.03	6	-0.13	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	34.4	17.7	29.6	1.8	32.5	141.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +24.9%

ORL +12.4%

ORL +8.5%

ORL +2.8%

ORL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	17.1	13.9	15.6	85.9	97.9	102.3
season	16.2	14.6		100.3	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.7	15.8	17.9	17.3	17.1
ORL	12.5	12.4	14.8	16.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-14	15	17.9	16.5	1.39	15.2	12.9	2.26
Hakeem Olajuwon	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-10	7	18.2	16.7	1.44	14.7	13.6	1.17
Vince Carter	65	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-9	5	17.4	16.4	1.06	14.4	12.6	1.77
Jerome Williams	35	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-3	-7	16.5	17.5	-1.02	11.7	15.1	-3.46
Dell Curry	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	15.4	18.7	-3.28	13.6	14.1	-0.53
Chris Childs	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	17.4	16.9	0.47	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Keon Clark	61	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	17.6	16.1	1.49	14.0	13.7	0.28
Alvin Williams	68	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	16.6	18.5	-1.87	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Antonio Davis	77	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	0	-13	17.3	16.4	0.86	14.2	12.0	2.24

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	78	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	3	7	13.5	15.9	-2.40	16.3	20.3	-4.00
Tracy McGrady	84	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	2	9	14.2	11.5	2.67	17.5	13.9	3.58
Horace Grant	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	2	9	14.7	12.3	2.39	17.1	17.1	0.04
Troy Hudson	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	2	9	13.9	13.9	-0.02	16.0	18.9	-2.95
Pat Garrity	62	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	8	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.46	16.4	18.3	-1.82
Monty Williams	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	8	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.47	18.5	14.0	4.43
Don Reid	21	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	8	-3	12.3	14.3	-2.00	17.2	17.1	0.10
Andrew DeClercq	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	9	-5	13.2	14.1	-0.84	18.8	16.7	2.13
Patrick Ewing	23	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	10	-7	14.4	13.7	0.67	18.2	16.7	1.48
Jud Buechler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	19.0	13.8	5.17	10.0	17.2	-7.20
Steven Hunter	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	19.0	13.8	5.17	10.0	17.2	-7.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DAL 77, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 87, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%