inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 77 Excitement4.7 [536] MVPMario Elie (SAS): +12.3%
San Antonio Spurs 99 Comeback1.1 [734] LVPJaren Jackson (SAS): -9.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samaki Walker0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.01967%0.071-0.03667%0.00
Michael Finley0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.031944%0.0000.001100%0.00
Hot Rod Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
A.C. Green-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011050%-0.022-0.022100%0.01
Hubert Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011246%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01333%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Steve Nash-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00437%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.070,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.021545%-0.051-0.01333%-0.02
Chris Anstey-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.08-0.001161%0.121-0.0010%-0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.011172%0.121-0.02743%-0.06
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01855%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03863%0.0200.00367%-0.01
Andrew Gaze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03475%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.011146%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01852%-0.021-0.02560%-0.02
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00744%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.01812%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.11.727.216.426.52.425.4120.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.0%
DAL -3.1%
DAL -6.7%
SAS +11.7%
SAS +6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game17.015.915.887.5113.899.6
season15.915.999.7101.1
opponent15.915.692.7102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.816.217.416.517.0
SAS15.016.516.915.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Anstey2625-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-181417.216.90.2715.616.1-0.42
Samaki Walker3031-0.07-0.430.360.10-6-161017.916.51.4216.415.70.74
Hot Rod Williams2726-0.13-0.370.23-0.10-1-212015.117.8-2.6817.215.41.73
A.C. Green2828-0.14-0.360.230.19-11-11017.516.70.7816.115.80.30
Steve Nash6664-0.22-0.280.050.10-11-11016.618.0-1.4415.716.7-1.08
Dirk Nowitzki2525-0.23-0.270.050.21-15-7-814.018.1-4.1416.215.80.36
Shawn Bradley5958-0.37-0.13-0.230.10-16-6-1017.715.42.3715.317.2-1.90
Hubert Davis6666-0.37-0.13-0.230.01-13-9-417.615.22.3816.015.60.43
Erick Strickland4747-0.44-0.06-0.370.18-21-1-2016.118.0-1.8916.015.80.17
Michael Finley6665-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-12-10-217.814.43.4115.816.2-0.38

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan71720.60-0.100.69-0.052202215.617.2-1.6017.813.24.62
Mario Elie52520.480.020.45-0.081931616.415.21.1917.516.21.35
Antonio Daniels43420.450.050.40-0.142021816.015.90.0716.517.4-0.98
Will Perdue43420.420.080.33-0.172021814.916.9-2.0017.016.90.07
Jaren Jackson39390.270.230.04-0.201661014.716.9-2.2217.416.70.71
Sean Elliott48490.160.34-0.170.13121-2016.215.70.5017.616.21.37
Steve Kerr33330.090.41-0.32-0.15814-616.415.60.7815.617.8-2.22
David Robinson44460.080.42-0.330.02220-1816.914.92.0016.917.0-0.07
Avery Johnson44460.050.45-0.40-0.01220-1815.916.0-0.0717.416.50.98
Andrew Gaze230.000.50-0.500.00022-2214.016.0-1.997.717.3-9.63
Malik Rose1616-0.100.60-0.69-0.10022-2217.215.61.6013.217.8-4.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 77, IND 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,195.5%
SAS 83, NYK 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
TOR 79, ORL 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%