NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	72		Excitement	5.4 [725]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHI): +2.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	82		Comeback	1.1 [960]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	12	25%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	14	32%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	10	20%	-0.10
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.07	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.20	-0.02	-0.03	30	41%	-0.13	3	-0.06	16	69%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.5	32.7	16.0	24.1	2.4	34.6	137.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.4%

PHI +5.5%

PHI +11.2%

PHI +8.6%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	19.0	15.7	15.6	86.7	98.8	102.3
season	16.5	15.9		96.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.2	20.0	16.4	23.3	19.0
PHI	14.7	13.6	17.9	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	41	44	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.28	11	-21	32	18.9	19.2	-0.24	18.0	13.0	5.00
Vladimir Stepania	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	17.3	19.3	-1.92	16.6	15.5	1.02
Kendall Gill	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-9	8	16.6	19.9	-3.32	17.0	15.2	1.84
Mike James	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-5	0	17.2	19.4	-2.10	11.4	16.3	-4.94
Chris Gatling	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	19.9	18.8	1.15	17.1	15.1	2.00
Alonzo Mourning	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-7	4	18.7	19.7	-0.92	16.6	13.6	2.96
Rod Strickland	54	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	19.4	18.4	0.98	14.0	19.1	-5.07
LaPhonso Ellis	42	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	0	-10	19.7	18.3	1.40	14.8	16.4	-1.66
Anthony Carter	31	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	0	-10	18.8	19.2	-0.39	16.1	15.4	0.75
Brian Grant	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	1	-12	19.3	18.5	0.81	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Jim Jackson	70	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	2	-14	19.6	16.1	3.52	15.1	18.3	-3.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	5	0	16.4	12.8	3.56	20.2	15.1	5.10
Corie Blount	23	24	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-4	18	14.3	16.2	-1.86	20.4	18.5	1.93
Aaron McKie	31	33	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-2	14	14.1	16.6	-2.43	19.5	18.8	0.72
Allen Iverson	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	16.1	12.8	3.27	18.3	23.5	-5.20
Dikembe Mutombo	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	5	0	16.4	11.0	5.36	18.6	22.1	-3.47
Eric Snow	66	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	15.5	16.1	-0.59	18.4	21.7	-3.35
Speedy Claxton	15	17	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	4	2	12.9	16.2	-3.32	22.1	18.3	3.79
Raja Bell	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	13.0	16.1	-3.14	15.0	19.8	-4.80
Derrick Coleman	53	51	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	13	-16	17.4	12.5	4.88	19.3	18.6	0.69
Samuel Dalembert	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	15.8	-15.84	0.0	19.0	-19.05
Vonteego Cummings	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	15.8	-15.84	15.0	19.1	-4.10
Jabari Smith	2	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	16.0	-16.04	0.0	19.0	-19.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
HOU 82, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 79, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%