NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	79		Excitement	5.3 [603]		MVP	Josh Harrellson (NYK): +10.0%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.2 [777]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -11.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	53%	0.03	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	16	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	24	48%	0.09	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.04
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	15	33%	-0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.3	17.5	28.2	1.5	40.5	138.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.2%

NYK +13.5%

NYK +22.6%

PHI -20.3%

NYK +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.6	84.0	90.4	102.8
season	15.6	14.9		101.0	102.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.2	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	15.2	15.9	12.1	14.9
NYK	14.3	19.1	16.1	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	26	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-5	4	16.4	14.4	2.03	15.0	16.0	-1.07
Jrue Holiday	78	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.39	9	-15	24	15.0	14.4	0.65	16.3	12.9	3.40
Elton Brand	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-16	26	15.3	13.8	1.44	16.5	13.1	3.44
Thaddeus Young	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-9	12	14.2	16.0	-1.79	16.3	14.7	1.62
Evan Turner	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.2	16.4	-2.22	16.5	14.0	2.44
Jodie Meeks	34	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	8	-22	15.6	14.5	1.15	13.2	17.3	-4.10
Andre Iguodala	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.7	0.21	16.1	14.4	1.68
Nikola Vucevic	26	24	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	13	-32	14.4	15.1	-0.68	13.4	16.5	-3.15
Louis Williams	39	37	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	10	-26	14.8	15.0	-0.12	14.4	16.6	-2.17

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	15.9	15.3	0.57	15.0	14.8	0.20
Toney Douglas	34	35	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-10	26	14.3	16.5	-2.24	15.1	14.8	0.32
Carmelo Anthony	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	1	4	16.1	14.6	1.53	15.1	14.4	0.64
Josh Harrellson	45	47	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-6	18	15.2	16.2	-1.09	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Henry Walker	34	35	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	-2	10	14.7	16.3	-1.55	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Iman Shumpert	77	74	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	12	-18	15.8	15.3	0.52	14.7	15.8	-1.19
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	73	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.33	-8	14	-22	15.9	14.9	0.97	15.0	14.7	0.32
Landry Fields	67	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	11	-16	16.4	14.0	2.47	15.4	13.8	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, SAC 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.89,1,0.98,1,1	94.7%
HOU 82, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIA 72, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	94.6%