NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	4.7 [867]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +7.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	76		Comeback	1.9 [657]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -22.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	89%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
David Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	45%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	55%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	7	62%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	13	45%	-0.01	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harold Jamison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.09	11	68%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	9	64%	0.04	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	11	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	10	14%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.0	28.1	16.6	25.2	2.5	27.3	126.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.0%

SAS +4.8%

LAC -9.2%

SAS +12.9%

SAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.6	101.1	88.4	102.3
season	15.8	15.9		104.3	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.1	16.0	15.0	20.9	16.7
LAC	18.4	15.3	17.8	14.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	45	44	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-11	35	15.4	18.0	-2.60	17.7	15.1	2.56
Terry Porter	46	44	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-2	17	15.8	17.6	-1.82	15.4	17.4	-2.00
Tim Duncan	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-2	17	16.4	17.9	-1.50	17.0	14.1	2.93
Charles Smith	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	7	-1	15.5	17.7	-2.26	18.0	15.0	2.95
Antonio Daniels	42	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	-1	15	17.2	16.2	0.95	16.8	16.0	0.77
Stephen Jackson	25	23	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	11	-9	15.8	17.0	-1.25	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Steven Smith	47	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	10	-7	15.9	17.6	-1.67	16.6	16.2	0.45
Danny Ferry	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	12	-11	20.9	15.4	5.47	14.1	17.1	-3.01
Malik Rose	31	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	4	5	17.6	16.2	1.47	16.7	16.2	0.47
Mark Bryant	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	22.7	16.2	6.54	10.7	16.8	-6.17
Tony Parker	49	49	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	17	-21	17.7	15.4	2.30	17.0	15.6	1.33
Cherokee Parks	23	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.32	-16	29	-45	17.0	16.6	0.42	12.9	17.5	-4.57

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harold Jamison	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	7.5	16.8	-9.34	20.8	16.4	4.35
Sean Rooks	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-11	9	16.0	16.5	-0.45	17.9	16.6	1.33
Elton Brand	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-7	1	17.6	14.3	3.29	17.1	16.0	1.04
Keyon Dooling	21	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-8	3	15.2	16.8	-1.55	16.4	16.8	-0.38
Eric Piatkowski	55	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	16.4	16.5	-0.12	16.6	16.8	-0.22
Jeff McInnis	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	16.8	15.2	1.55	16.8	16.4	0.38
Quentin Richardson	45	45	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	16.1	16.8	-0.67	18.0	15.3	2.72
Darius Miles	44	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-5	-3	14.6	18.3	-3.67	17.3	16.0	1.23
Corey Maggette	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-3	-7	16.6	15.8	0.79	15.8	19.4	-3.56
Michael Olowokandi	66	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	5	-23	17.3	13.5	3.79	15.6	20.5	-4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, POR 63	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
BOS 101, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 108, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%