NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	4.3 [968]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (BOS): +10.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	81		Comeback	2.2 [676]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -23.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	10	69%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.03	12	62%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02
Allan Ray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	68%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	74%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ivan McFarlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	45%	0.01	3	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	17	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.03	0.01	14	23%	-0.14	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	29.4	15.8	30.8	1.8	34.3	139.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.4%

BOS +2.3%

PHI -4.5%

BOS +10.0%

BOS +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.4	107.4	84.4	104.5
season	15.5	15.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	16.8	15.3	17.2	15.9
PHI	13.3	16.0	16.0	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	6	8	16.5	14.8	1.61	15.0	13.3	1.67
Sebastian Telfair	28	29	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	10	0	16.1	15.8	0.29	16.4	13.6	2.90
Paul Pierce	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	10	0	16.5	14.3	2.20	14.8	13.6	1.21
Al Jefferson	56	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.17	5	15	-10	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.9	13.7	1.13
Wally Szczerbiak	44	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.19	16	4	12	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.6	14.3	0.31
Tony Allen	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	16	-12	16.2	15.5	0.72	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Gerald Green	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	8	4	15.2	16.3	-1.06	13.1	15.2	-2.15
Delonte West	59	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	13	-6	16.2	15.5	0.71	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Leon Powe	18	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	12	-4	14.5	16.2	-1.74	13.1	14.7	-1.66
Brian Scalabrine	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	15	-10	14.9	16.3	-1.37	14.4	14.4	0.00
Rajon Rondo	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	15	-10	13.4	16.3	-2.92	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Allan Ray	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	16	-12	16.9	15.8	1.11	9.9	14.9	-5.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	7.7	15.0	-7.28	17.2	15.8	1.46
Bobby Jones	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	-13	6	13.6	14.6	-0.98	13.9	16.4	-2.55
Alan Henderson	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-19	18	13.1	14.8	-1.70	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Ivan McFarlin	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.28	-14	-6	-8	15.3	14.3	0.96	13.8	16.2	-2.36
Samuel Dalembert	45	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-19	18	15.2	13.7	1.50	17.0	15.0	1.98
Andre Iguodala	72	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-10	0	14.3	14.7	-0.37	16.5	14.1	2.45
Steven Hunter	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-7	-6	15.1	14.2	0.86	12.9	16.7	-3.75
Willie Green	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-17	14	15.0	13.9	1.18	16.3	15.5	0.78
Lou Williams	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-7	-6	13.0	15.6	-2.60	15.3	16.4	-1.15
Kevin Ollie	66	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-9	-2	15.4	12.3	3.14	16.6	14.3	2.35
Chris Webber	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-16	12	14.8	13.6	1.20	16.5	14.6	1.86
Kyle Korver	59	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	1	-22	14.2	14.7	-0.49	15.4	16.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 104, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	95.5%
BKN 115, WAS 104	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SAS 89, LAC 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%