NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	5.6 [678]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +14.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.6 [321]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -18.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.02	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Tracy Murray	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	4	109%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	8	69%	0.13	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	73%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	23	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	5	43%	-0.06	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	27	53%	0.01	4	-0.08	14	93%	0.06
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	41%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	35%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.02	5	60%	-0.05	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	25.3	14.7	26.3	2.3	40.5	134.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +58.1%

TOR +0.2%

PHI -6.6%

PHI -4.2%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.6	112.4	103.3	102.3
season	16.2	15.9		100.3	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	14.4	14.2	18.4	15.9
PHI	16.2	17.5	16.4	15.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	38	39	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-1	9	15.8	15.9	-0.09	16.7	16.0	0.76
Vince Carter	89	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.9	0.0	15.87	16.3	0.0	16.31
Eric Montross	32	33	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-2	11	14.4	16.7	-2.23	19.8	14.3	5.44
Antonio Davis	71	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	7	-7	16.2	14.5	1.71	16.6	15.2	1.36
Chris Childs	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	16.0	15.7	0.26	15.5	17.0	-1.43
Keon Clark	63	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	8	-9	16.3	14.9	1.33	15.1	19.1	-4.00
Alvin Williams	77	78	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	6	-5	15.7	16.8	-1.12	16.3	16.2	0.17
Michael Bradley	3	3	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	2	3	9.3	16.1	-6.76	13.3	16.4	-3.08
Michael Stewart	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	17.0	15.8	1.25	12.2	16.7	-4.46
Tracy Murray	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	16.5	15.6	0.90	16.2	16.4	-0.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-9	11	17.8	16.0	1.86	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Raja Bell	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-7	7	0.0	16.5	-16.49	23.0	15.8	7.22
Corie Blount	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-6	5	16.0	16.5	-0.46	15.7	16.0	-0.26
Speedy Claxton	47	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-11	15	15.7	16.9	-1.19	16.5	15.2	1.29
Matt Harpring	47	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	3	-13	17.7	14.8	2.87	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Dikembe Mutombo	76	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-6	5	17.1	12.1	5.02	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Allen Iverson	90	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	16.3	0.0	16.31	15.9	0.0	15.87
Eric Snow	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	1	-9	15.4	19.3	-3.94	16.0	15.3	0.73
Derrick Coleman	68	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	7	-21	15.8	17.8	-1.99	15.9	15.8	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.9%
MEM 94, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.02,0,0	93.5%
WAS 105, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.28,0.15,0.02,0	93.3%