NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	6.9 [440]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +21.7%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	1.1 [1007]		LVP	Keon Clark (TOR): -14.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Montross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.08
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	26	46%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	31%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.20	0.01	17	70%	0.36	6	-0.14	10	90%	0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	74%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	14	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.7	28.2	14.8	22.2	2.4	30.6	128.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +45.5%

NJN +8.1%

TOR -3.7%

TOR -4.4%

NJN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	15.6	100.0	106.5	102.3
season	16.2	14.7		100.3	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.6	16.4	17.5	15.1	16.4
NJN	14.1	15.5	13.8	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	53	52	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-16	25	16.2	16.7	-0.46	16.1	13.7	2.37
Jerome Williams	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-4	1	16.6	16.3	0.32	14.2	15.6	-1.36
Dell Curry	48	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	15.6	17.3	-1.68	16.3	13.6	2.71
Chris Childs	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-6	5	15.6	17.5	-1.89	16.1	13.8	2.27
Alvin Williams	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-1	-5	17.1	14.2	2.95	14.5	16.7	-2.17
Eric Montross	50	50	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	16.3	16.6	-0.31	15.3	14.7	0.60
Vince Carter	73	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.15	-16	9	-25	16.6	15.6	1.01	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Antonio Davis	77	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	9	-25	16.8	14.5	2.27	14.2	20.6	-6.46

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	59	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	0	7	15.6	14.0	1.61	16.2	16.8	-0.53
Kerry Kittles	65	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-6	19	13.8	18.2	-4.47	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Jason Kidd	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	0	7	15.0	15.6	-0.60	16.6	14.7	1.93
Todd MacCulloch	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-4	15	14.6	16.0	-1.39	16.8	15.6	1.22
Kenyon Martin	58	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	14.1	16.6	-2.51	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Brian Scalabrine	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	3	1	14.2	15.3	-1.05	16.2	16.5	-0.24
Jason Collins	22	20	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	9	-11	16.1	14.7	1.41	16.0	16.5	-0.47
Lucious Harris	37	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	13	-19	17.5	13.4	4.10	15.9	16.7	-0.77
Aaron Williams	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	11	-15	16.3	14.8	1.44	13.9	16.8	-2.91
Keith Van Horn	45	47	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.14	-2	9	-11	15.6	14.6	1.00	17.2	15.6	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.84,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.77,0.96,1	92.7%
PHI 100, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.71,0.57,0.99,1	92.2%
PHX 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.97,1	92.0%