NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	99		Excitement	5.5 [713]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +34.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	2.9 [140]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -12.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.26	0.11	0.03	14	97%	0.36	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	13	69%	0.24	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	22	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	14	33%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.03	-0.02	20	66%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	16	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	40%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	15	34%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	27.4	15.5	21.5	2.3	26.6	118.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.5%

MIL -0.4%

MIL -0.2%

SEA +8.5%

SEA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	17.8	15.8	15.6	116.5	102.3	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		106.3	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.8		105.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.7	14.3	17.6	20.4	17.8
MIL	14.6	16.3	14.5	18.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	50	51	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.16	27	-16	43	17.6	18.1	-0.50	16.5	14.9	1.62
Brent Barry	83	83	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-1	13	17.9	14.5	3.43	16.1	10.0	6.06
Gary Payton	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	3	5	18.0	16.8	1.20	15.5	18.7	-3.15
Rashard Lewis	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	4	3	18.0	16.8	1.27	16.0	15.0	1.00
Vin Baker	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	8	-5	19.1	14.6	4.55	16.0	15.5	0.50
Shammond Williams	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	7	-3	17.7	17.9	-0.12	15.6	15.9	-0.35
Jerome James	11	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	15.5	18.2	-2.64	15.8	15.9	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	6	8	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	8	-5	12.2	18.3	-6.11	13.5	16.1	-2.59
Predrag Drobnjak	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	9	-7	16.4	18.1	-1.70	16.5	15.7	0.76
Art Long	39	39	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.01	-15	26	-41	17.3	18.3	-1.00	15.1	16.5	-1.41

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	35	35	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.02	11	-22	33	15.2	16.3	-1.09	18.0	17.8	0.21
Ray Allen	67	67	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-16	21	15.9	15.5	0.41	18.6	14.9	3.68
Jason Caffey	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-9	7	16.5	15.7	0.76	16.4	18.1	-1.70
Mark Pope	1	1	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-9	7	0.0	16.0	-16.04	18.0	17.8	0.15
Tim Thomas	56	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-15	19	15.3	16.8	-1.46	19.3	14.7	4.60
Anthony Mason	74	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	15.3	19.2	-3.95	18.3	15.3	2.93
Ervin Johnson	26	26	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	6	-23	18.0	14.9	3.03	14.1	19.5	-5.43
Sam Cassell	79	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-1	-9	15.6	18.1	-2.50	17.8	18.3	-0.52
Darvin Ham	32	28	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	5	-21	16.2	15.7	0.49	16.5	18.5	-1.96
Michael Redd	48	46	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.12	-24	13	-37	16.8	14.7	2.13	17.5	18.3	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.73,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 116, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DEN 112, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.4%
ORL 85, POR 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.1%