NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	4.1 [986]		MVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): +13.3%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	1.7 [624]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -20.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.06	0.04	7	93%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	18	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	16	53%	0.02	3	-0.03	13	77%	0.02
Art Long	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.01	-0.12	0.07	25	43%	-0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	15	61%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	5	91%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	70%	0.06	3	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	18	51%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	18	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	11	64%	-0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	26.8	15.5	27.3	1.8	30.2	125.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +33.6%

CHH +8.0%

CHH +14.8%

SEA -9.1%

CHH +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHH	NBA	SEA	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	112.2	122.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		106.3	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.8	18.5	15.5	15.3	16.0
CHH	15.8	13.0	17.2	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-7	4	14.5	16.6	-2.16	17.0	15.3	1.62
Art Long	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.1	15.6	0.44
Vin Baker	68	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-15	20	16.6	14.2	2.35	16.7	13.3	3.31
Rashard Lewis	72	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-9	8	16.4	14.2	2.22	15.8	15.9	-0.16
Brent Barry	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	16.3	15.2	1.16	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Gary Payton	84	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-12	14	15.6	22.2	-6.61	15.8	15.5	0.35
Jerome James	21	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	7	-24	14.7	16.4	-1.74	12.5	16.8	-4.35
Shammond Williams	24	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	16.2	15.9	0.34	16.7	15.5	1.16
Desmond Mason	51	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	7	-24	15.9	16.1	-0.18	15.2	16.8	-1.61

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	4	2	15.5	18.8	-3.28	16.0	16.2	-0.27
P.J. Brown	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	3	4	15.5	16.8	-1.28	16.9	13.3	3.62
Stacey Augmon	25	24	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-1	12	17.2	15.3	1.84	17.7	15.4	2.39
Lee Nailon	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	1	8	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.1	15.8	0.35
Elden Campbell	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	6	-2	16.2	15.0	1.25	16.4	15.2	1.25
Baron Davis	76	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.43	-6	16	-22	16.6	11.9	4.74	15.4	18.9	-3.44
Jamaal Magloire	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	3	4	15.3	16.0	-0.70	15.1	16.4	-1.37
George Lynch	27	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	6	-2	16.7	15.5	1.20	13.6	16.9	-3.32
Bryce Drew	29	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	2	6	14.6	16.4	-1.87	15.9	16.1	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.88,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	94.2%
UTA 89, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	93.8%
MEM 94, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1	93.5%