NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	4.7 [862]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +7.4%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.5 [1236]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -11.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	72%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.02	0.08	14	74%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.02
Nick Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Will Solomon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Antonis Fotsis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	16	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.06	11	64%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	19	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	27.6	15.4	25.6	3.3	23.4	123.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +2.6%

SAC +3.5%

SAC +19.9%

SAC +22.8%

SAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	15.6	97.0	110.9	102.3
season	15.7	14.2		96.0	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	15.0	14.9	13.8	14.6
SAC	12.4	15.6	12.2	15.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-10	6	16.6	14.3	2.25	14.3	13.8	0.47
Stromile Swift	62	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-15	16	14.6	14.6	0.03	14.8	12.4	2.48
Antonis Fotsis	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-15	16	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.8	13.1	1.77
Will Solomon	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-9	4	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.1	13.8	0.26
Brevin Knight	79	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	14.7	14.4	0.35	14.0	13.6	0.34
Pau Gasol	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	14.2	15.9	-1.63	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Grant Long	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-2	-10	14.8	14.5	0.25	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Rodney Buford	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	14.3	16.3	-2.00	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Tony Massenburg	61	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.02	-21	7	-28	15.5	13.3	2.17	13.2	14.8	-1.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-4	22	12.8	16.6	-3.77	15.0	13.7	1.27
Chris Webber	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-3	20	12.7	18.0	-5.39	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Doug Christie	68	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	3	8	13.6	14.5	-0.90	14.4	15.1	-0.62
Mike Bibby	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	3	8	12.7	15.6	-2.93	14.3	15.1	-0.73
Vlade Divac	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	4	6	14.2	13.5	0.69	14.8	14.4	0.37
Scot Pollard	52	50	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	8	-2	14.7	13.0	1.67	15.4	13.9	1.48
Bobby Jackson	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	13	-12	15.3	12.9	2.33	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Hedo Turkoglu	51	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	10	-6	15.1	12.7	2.42	15.4	13.9	1.43
Lawrence Funderburke	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	17	-20	16.8	13.3	3.54	13.2	14.9	-1.64
Gerald Wallace	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	17.4	13.5	3.91	9.3	15.2	-5.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SEA 77, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%