inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 77 Excitement3.8 [1031] MVPRashard Lewis (SEA): +10.6%
Seattle SuperSonics 104 Comeback1.0 [1211] LVPChris Andersen (DEN): -11.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.00-0.011167%0.101-0.012100%0.00
Nick Van Exel0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.02-0.001967%0.133-0.06475%-0.00
Kenny Satterfield-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.130.00-0.12433%-0.004-0.004100%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00550%0.011-0.032100%-0.00
James Posey-0.030,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.03922%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01430%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Zendon Hamilton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.06848%0.024-0.07580%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.00633%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.03-0.0360%-0.091-0.0300%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.011461%0.1100.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.011864%0.103-0.04333%-0.02
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.030.03965%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Art Long0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.031250%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04540%0.003-0.0300%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03939%-0.003-0.0600%0.00
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.000.08456%-0.0700.001100%-0.04
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.011344%-0.052-0.04837%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.028.315.624.12.535.2131.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +24.1%
DEN -3.1%
SEA +20.0%
SEA +11.8%
DEN -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSEANBADENSEANBA
this game17.215.015.686.5115.6102.3
season16.116.099.7106.3
opponent15.815.2103.9105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN18.315.616.718.417.2
SEA14.515.714.615.215.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen1818-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-231914.118.0-3.8713.215.4-2.28
Kenny Satterfield2122-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-272718.416.81.5415.214.90.26
Voshon Lenard5557-0.10-0.400.290.31-14-13-115.819.5-3.6715.514.11.37
Ryan Bowen4848-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-221716.018.6-2.6515.015.0-0.02
Calbert Cheaney4243-0.16-0.340.180.31-16-11-517.616.90.7415.214.80.38
Avery Johnson4644-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-14117.417.00.3915.414.60.87
Zendon Hamilton6363-0.37-0.13-0.240.16-18-9-918.214.83.3814.815.5-0.76
James Posey5355-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-16-11-518.415.52.9114.016.5-2.45
Nick Van Exel6161-0.500.00-0.500.32-281-2916.818.1-1.3214.615.8-1.14
Raef LaFrentz3839-0.500.00-0.510.11-21-6-1518.316.41.9416.613.82.78

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brent Barry59600.52-0.020.55-0.242612515.214.60.5716.917.9-1.03
Gary Payton72700.470.030.44-0.292612515.015.1-0.1517.416.50.93
Rashard Lewis65630.470.030.44-0.232432115.214.60.5916.718.5-1.83
Vin Baker64640.380.120.27-0.171981115.214.40.8518.314.34.06
Art Long53540.380.120.25-0.212071315.015.00.0317.516.70.76
Desmond Mason43430.170.33-0.17-0.36189915.114.90.2017.117.3-0.12
Vladimir Radmanovic23200.040.46-0.420.16-431-3515.514.80.6616.217.5-1.23
Jerome James29300.040.46-0.42-0.17720-1314.615.2-0.5416.017.8-1.76
Shammond Williams25260.030.47-0.44-0.06324-2114.615.2-0.5918.516.71.83
Olumide Oyedeji650.000.50-0.500.15-532-3712.515.2-2.6715.817.3-1.49
Earl Watson11100.000.50-0.50-0.03126-2513.515.2-1.6415.317.4-2.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 66, CHI 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
IND 80, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIL 94, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%