inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement3.6 [1070] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +11.0%
San Antonio Spurs 107 Comeback1.0 [1179] LVPGary Payton (MIL): -14.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.021260%0.111-0.031100%0.01
Ervin Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Redd0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02860%0.0100.00989%0.02
Sam Cassell0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021161%0.031-0.02989%0.02
Marcus Haislip0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01167%0.0000.0010%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01850%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.001847%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.03518%-0.042-0.0310%-0.01
Gary Payton-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.011141%-0.073-0.07757%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.160.000.061679%0.152-0.047100%0.03
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03567%0.0410.00540%-0.03
Stephen Jackson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.02856%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.010.06975%0.041-0.016100%0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01658%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04833%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.041150%0.053-0.062100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.02540%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01533%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.028.216.729.22.429.2133.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.3%
SAS +4.3%
SAS +20.4%
SAS +0.4%
MIL -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILSASNBAMILSASNBA
this game15.815.815.5103.3117.6101.6
season15.415.7106.3102.5
opponent15.415.896.9106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.217.415.115.315.8
SAS16.112.615.519.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric770.00-0.500.50-0.238-212910.616.2-5.6721.915.36.51
Marcus Haislip99-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-172112.716.1-3.4820.115.44.73
Toni Kukoc3939-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-121113.917.2-3.3813.917.3-3.37
Joel Przybilla2424-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-10716.015.70.3314.216.4-2.17
Ervin Johnson1920-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-7117.315.41.8518.815.03.79
Sam Cassell6262-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-6-115.416.7-1.2517.013.43.62
Anthony Mason5451-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-163-1916.514.81.7213.518.8-5.32
Michael Redd6161-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.25-1-121114.817.8-2.9315.017.6-2.57
Tim Thomas5556-0.32-0.18-0.150.12-152-1717.113.93.2117.313.53.74
Desmond Mason6465-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-10-3-716.314.61.7216.414.42.05
Gary Payton6161-0.530.03-0.550.00-185-2316.614.12.4915.117.4-2.27

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan67650.460.040.43-0.0417-42115.915.60.3616.613.82.85
Bruce Bowen63620.430.070.36-0.1018-52316.314.91.3816.414.61.84
Speedy Claxton56560.430.070.360.11112915.716.1-0.3916.814.22.56
David Robinson36360.280.220.06-0.04112916.715.31.4517.514.72.81
Manu Ginobili45460.230.27-0.040.0276113.218.4-5.1516.115.50.53
Stephen Jackson42420.210.29-0.08-0.0385316.914.91.9716.515.21.34
Kevin Willis29310.140.36-0.230.22-316-1914.916.3-1.4415.016.2-1.27
Malik Rose41410.120.38-0.26-0.0876114.716.8-2.1214.317.0-2.66
Steve Kerr20200.120.38-0.270.03310-714.616.2-1.5313.716.4-2.63
Steven Smith24240.050.45-0.410.34-1023-3318.914.84.1112.517.0-4.49
Tony Parker23230.040.46-0.42-0.02211-916.115.80.3215.216.0-0.78
Danny Ferry990.000.50-0.500.18-619-2520.115.44.7312.716.1-3.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 74, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
LAC 91, MEM 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
LAC 67, UTA 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%