NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	66		Excitement	3.0 [1203]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +12.0%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.0 [1240]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -10.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	21	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Viktor Khryapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	14	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.18	-0.01	-0.10	5	0%	-0.05	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	4	10%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	17	64%	0.12	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Basden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.09	8	65%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	27.1	14.8	22.3	2.4	27.2	119.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.7%

CHI +3.3%

CHI +2.1%

CHI +6.8%

POR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	18.0	14.5	15.6	75.0	106.7	104.4
season	16.6	14.4		99.4	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.7		102.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	20.1	19.0	14.9	18.0
CHI	13.8	12.6	16.0	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-27	25	14.3	19.3	-4.95	15.4	14.2	1.22
Travis Outlaw	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.21	-9	-20	11	15.1	20.2	-5.14	16.1	13.4	2.66
Martell Webster	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-21	13	16.4	19.1	-2.69	16.3	13.4	2.90
Joel Przybilla	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-22	15	17.2	18.5	-1.30	14.9	14.3	0.61
Brian Skinner	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-20	11	19.5	17.0	2.48	14.2	14.8	-0.56
Sebastian Telfair	50	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.29	-18	-11	-7	16.7	19.8	-3.18	14.9	14.1	0.78
Jarrett Jack	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-20	11	19.7	16.9	2.84	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Viktor Khryapa	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.27	-19	-10	-9	18.7	17.4	1.30	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Darius Miles	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.28	-22	-7	-15	18.5	17.5	1.07	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Steve Blake	46	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	-11	-7	20.3	15.6	4.71	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Zach Randolph	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	-5	-19	19.3	15.5	3.84	13.9	15.7	-1.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.52	33	-4	37	14.7	13.8	0.94	18.4	16.6	1.86
Tyson Chandler	36	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.39	28	1	27	14.9	14.2	0.70	19.2	17.2	2.02
Kirk Hinrich	48	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	11	7	13.1	16.2	-3.09	20.2	15.6	4.63
Malik Allen	41	40	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	13	3	13.0	15.9	-2.88	20.5	16.0	4.52
Luol Deng	46	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.20	20	9	11	14.2	14.9	-0.73	19.7	16.1	3.58
Andres Nocioni	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.30	17	12	5	14.2	14.8	-0.57	17.1	18.8	-1.73
Jannero Pargo	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.17	10	19	-9	15.0	14.0	1.07	16.2	20.1	-3.86
Eric Piatkowski	47	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	25	-21	15.0	14.0	1.00	17.0	19.1	-2.16
Luke Schenscher	34	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	23	-17	15.6	13.9	1.76	15.8	19.3	-3.44
Eddie Basden	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	15.9	14.2	1.67	15.8	18.6	-2.81
Othella Harrington	21	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	38	-47	15.7	14.2	1.55	14.4	19.1	-4.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 77, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
IND 80, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 72, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%