NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	13.5 [3]		MVP	John Crotty (UTA): +12.2%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	3.8 [137]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -28.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.06	0.18	0.01	15	41%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.11	0.01	11	56%	0.17	2	-0.10	10	50%	-0.07
Rodney Buford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	9	50%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.01	-0.15	-0.00	18	56%	-0.00	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.06
Grant Long	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	9	35%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.44,-0.37,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	8	50%	0.18	7	-0.42	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	7	69%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	16	60%	0.19	3	-0.25	3	100%	0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	2	75%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	11	46%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.19	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.17,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.18	-0.03	9	27%	-0.14	2	-0.14	4	50%	-0.10
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.13	0.01	24	43%	-0.13	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	29.0	15.0	23.2	1.8	31.0	1.6	15.1	1.7	11.0	153.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.9%

MEM +15.8%

UTA -43.7%

MEM +15.1%

MEM +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.6	93.3	88.8	102.3
season	15.7	16.1		96.0	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.8	16.6	16.9	16.8	20.9	16.9
UTA	15.5	18.5	15.9	16.0	13.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	88	90	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.55	6	-4	10	16.7	16.1	0.69	16.7	14.5	2.23
Shane Battier	90	92	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.40	1	1	0	16.5	17.8	-1.32	15.9	18.9	-2.93
Stromile Swift	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	2	-2	16.6	16.7	-0.07	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Tony Massenburg	65	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	3	-4	16.6	16.7	-0.12	16.5	16.0	0.52
Jason Williams	62	64	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	6	-10	17.0	16.0	1.00	15.8	17.1	-1.25
Grant Long	75	79	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	4	-6	17.1	15.5	1.56	16.3	16.5	-0.16
Rodney Buford	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.8	16.6	0.22	16.8	16.1	0.70
Brevin Knight	34	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.39	3	-1	4	16.4	16.8	-0.35	15.4	16.8	-1.44

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	32	32	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-10	18	15.8	16.6	-0.76	17.0	16.5	0.51
Jarron Collins	35	35	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	16.7	16.2	0.59	16.3	16.8	-0.45
John Crotty	35	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	2	-6	16.3	16.4	-0.13	16.8	16.6	0.23
Scott Padgett	71	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-1	0	16.2	16.7	-0.48	16.9	16.2	0.68
John Amaechi	27	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	18.1	15.7	2.36	16.0	16.9	-0.85
Greg Ostertag	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	3	-8	15.6	16.5	-0.86	17.6	16.4	1.14
John Starks	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-3	4	17.2	16.0	1.14	15.2	17.2	-1.91
Karl Malone	88	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	16.3	16.5	-0.16	16.3	18.2	-1.90
John Stockton	72	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.55	2	-4	6	16.4	16.3	0.13	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Bryon Russell	63	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	5	-12	16.5	16.1	0.43	17.1	16.0	1.16
Andrei Kirilenko	52	50	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-0.68	-12	10	-22	15.9	16.7	-0.82	16.4	16.9	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.15,0.54,0.31,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.46,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.16,1	86.1%
DEN 118, CLE 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.09,0	86.0%
GSW 105, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.42,0	85.8%