NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	85		Excitement	5.6 [687]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +11.3%
Chicago Bulls	73		Comeback	1.6 [949]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.08	0.02	13	60%	0.14	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	21	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	17	51%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	19	32%	-0.08	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.8	26.1	15.7	23.1	1.8	31.2	120.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.3%

CHI -3.3%

CHI -3.1%

TOR +5.7%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.6	97.7	83.0	102.3
season	16.2	15.6		100.3	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.2	15.2	18.7	16.3	16.7
CHI	15.8	20.8	12.7	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-6	24	16.6	16.8	-0.19	15.8	18.0	-2.20
Antonio Davis	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	0	12	16.9	14.7	2.11	15.8	19.8	-3.93
Chris Childs	44	43	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-2	16	16.5	16.8	-0.29	17.0	15.5	1.47
Keon Clark	41	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	15.9	17.3	-1.40	18.4	14.2	4.29
Alvin Williams	62	63	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	12	-12	16.7	16.6	0.09	15.8	17.4	-1.55
Dell Curry	25	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	10	-8	16.1	16.9	-0.82	19.1	14.9	4.14
Jerome Williams	28	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	9	-6	17.2	16.4	0.86	15.7	16.5	-0.74
Hakeem Olajuwon	51	52	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	12	-12	17.0	16.2	0.76	15.4	17.5	-2.07
Tracy Murray	35	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	16.8	16.6	0.22	14.7	17.3	-2.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	42	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-12	12	14.8	17.6	-2.76	17.4	16.0	1.43
Brad Miller	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-12	12	16.2	16.3	-0.02	16.7	16.6	0.05
Trenton Hassell	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-9	6	17.2	15.9	1.24	16.4	16.8	-0.38
Fred Hoiberg	24	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-4	-4	17.6	15.7	1.89	15.5	17.1	-1.56
Tyson Chandler	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	15.9	16.4	-0.53	17.5	16.3	1.23
Charles Oakley	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-9	6	17.2	15.1	2.15	16.2	17.3	-1.06
Metta World Peace	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	15.7	18.3	-2.57	16.8	16.1	0.72
Ron Mercer	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	15.7	17.7	-1.96	16.8	16.4	0.38
Marcus Fizer	52	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	15.9	16.7	-0.85	16.9	16.3	0.66
A.J. Guyton	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	17.6	14.8	2.76	16.0	17.4	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	94.8%
NYK 75, ORL 68	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	94.1%
MIA 103, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	94.1%