NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	8.6 [158]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +23.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	2.5 [507]		LVP	Anthony Mason (MIL): -21.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.09,0.2	-0.04	0.24	-0.00	18	41%	0.24	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.03
Darvin Ham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	18	53%	0.12	2	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.00	22	51%	0.01	3	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.23	0.23	-0.06	0.28	-0.01	9	39%	0.28	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	10	58%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.07
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.14,-0.2,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.06	-0.04	17	44%	0.07	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.14	0.01	5	90%	0.06	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	27.3	16.8	24.3	2.7	36.2	130.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +17.3%

MIL -6.9%

LAC +7.8%

LAC +31.5%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.6	95.4	98.9	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		104.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	16.0		104.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.8	16.7	15.4	13.0	15.6
LAC	16.5	18.4	17.3	17.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	28	32	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-9	15	14.2	16.3	-2.13	17.2	17.7	-0.52
Darvin Ham	41	39	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.20	13	-16	29	14.5	16.7	-2.19	18.7	16.5	2.29
Rafer Alston	17	19	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-10	17	14.6	15.9	-1.21	18.4	17.2	1.13
Sam Cassell	63	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	15.8	15.1	0.68	17.5	17.3	0.19
Joel Przybilla	16	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	6	-15	16.9	15.3	1.54	18.0	17.4	0.63
Ervin Johnson	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	4	-11	15.2	16.2	-1.01	17.6	17.3	0.28
Ray Allen	75	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.3	1.49	17.2	18.8	-1.60
Tim Thomas	73	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.51	-9	6	-15	15.9	14.3	1.59	16.9	20.7	-3.85
Anthony Mason	69	69	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.57	-12	9	-21	16.5	12.3	4.14	17.3	18.1	-0.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	70	69	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.36	24	-21	45	17.2	18.8	-1.67	16.2	13.3	2.88
Lamar Odom	74	74	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.49	7	-4	11	17.6	17.0	0.57	16.0	13.7	2.27
Jeff McInnis	78	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	0	3	17.3	19.4	-2.19	15.6	15.9	-0.28
Eric Piatkowski	25	27	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	2	-1	16.8	17.7	-0.90	15.9	15.5	0.34
Elton Brand	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	1	1	17.4	17.6	-0.18	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Corey Maggette	45	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	1	1	17.4	17.5	-0.08	15.2	16.0	-0.77
Earl Boykins	9	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	19.4	17.3	2.19	15.9	15.6	0.28
Sean Rooks	3	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	18.0	17.5	0.54	24.2	15.2	9.05
Quentin Richardson	35	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	7	-11	17.7	17.3	0.44	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Darius Miles	37	37	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.13	-18	21	-39	18.2	16.9	1.28	14.5	16.5	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,1	90.7%
MEM 80, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.57,0.31,0.42,1	90.5%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	89.2%