NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	7.0 [422]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BOS): +8.4%
New York Knicks	81		Comeback	6.0 [164]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -38.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	22	47%	0.08	2	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	58%	0.06	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	32%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04
Erick Strickland	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	66%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	59%	0.01	3	-0.07	11	82%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	21	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	5	21%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.19	-0.21	-0.02	20	35%	-0.12	5	-0.26	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.2	16.8	22.1	2.4	35.3	128.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.2%

NYK -3.9%

BOS +10.7%

BOS +7.2%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.6	97.8	90.0	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		100.9	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.7		103.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.4	17.3	17.0	13.7	15.2
NYK	15.4	17.9	15.0	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	73	73	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-4	17	14.8	16.9	-2.07	16.6	15.6	1.01
Tony Battie	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-3	15	15.0	15.7	-0.62	17.3	14.4	2.81
Eric Williams	43	40	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	1	7	14.6	15.8	-1.17	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Antoine Walker	83	80	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	15.7	11.4	4.22	16.2	18.2	-2.01
Paul Pierce	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	14.8	18.2	-3.45	16.3	17.2	-0.88
Joe Johnson	61	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	7	-5	15.9	14.0	1.84	16.9	15.4	1.43
Vitaly Potapenko	28	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	12	-15	16.1	14.9	1.18	15.1	16.9	-1.84
Erick Strickland	30	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.04	-6	15	-21	15.6	15.1	0.57	15.7	16.7	-1.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	24	26	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-15	21	16.1	16.5	-0.45	14.8	15.4	-0.67
Charlie Ward	32	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-12	15	18.1	15.5	2.61	15.6	15.1	0.55
Othella Harrington	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	18.2	15.8	2.37	15.7	15.1	0.54
Kurt Thomas	77	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	16.4	16.5	-0.06	15.3	14.9	0.46
Mark Jackson	58	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	3	-15	15.5	18.1	-2.61	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Latrell Sprewell	86	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	3	-15	16.6	13.0	3.57	15.3	13.6	1.74
Allan Houston	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	3	-15	16.3	16.7	-0.37	15.3	15.0	0.26
Marcus Camby	80	84	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	2	-13	15.9	20.4	-4.49	15.1	17.1	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.59,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.17,0.02,0	92.0%
CLE 95, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.15,0	91.9%
PHX 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.04,0	91.1%