inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 76 Excitement4.1 [981] MVPMichael Jordan (WAS): +14.2%
Washington Wizards 98 Comeback2.1 [340] LVPJason Kidd (NJN): -13.9%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kerry Kittles0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.011064%0.0500.002100%0.01
Derrick Dial0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04337%0.0200.00250%0.00
Steve Goodrich0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02527%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Jason Collins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.02-0.05767%0.064-0.071070%0.01
Richard Jefferson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.01542%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Aaron Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02525%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Keith Van Horn-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.020.061650%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Todd MacCulloch-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01117%-0.051-0.03425%-0.03
Jason Kidd-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.011828%-0.092-0.0500%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Jordan0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.03-0.053258%0.213-0.071392%0.03
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.01-0.07933%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tyrone Nesby00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021045%0.012-0.052100%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.011060%0.044-0.0800%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.010.061450%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03621%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.724.315.626.11.526.6119.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +32.6%
WAS +1.4%
WAS +29.5%
NJN -13.1%
NJN -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNWASNBANJNWASNBA
this game14.118.015.686.4107.7102.3
season14.716.5101.4102.2
opponent15.316.0103.998.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN11.114.816.614.614.1
WAS17.717.216.221.418.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Goodrich670.00-0.500.500.03-1-212015.514.01.4917.118.1-0.93
Brandon Armstrong670.00-0.500.500.03-1-212015.514.01.4917.118.1-0.93
Aaron Williams3333-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-191612.515.1-2.5120.116.83.28
Derrick Dial1820-0.11-0.390.290.07-6-161014.314.10.2116.918.3-1.41
Richard Jefferson4042-0.12-0.380.260.05-6-161012.715.3-2.5916.719.1-2.48
Lucious Harris3131-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-161013.214.6-1.3718.917.51.32
Jason Collins3639-0.19-0.310.110.07-9-13414.314.00.3216.818.9-2.11
Kenyon Martin5961-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.02-9-13414.613.01.6118.317.40.94
Kerry Kittles5153-0.37-0.13-0.230.07-15-7-814.513.60.9017.618.6-0.95
Jason Kidd7071-0.39-0.11-0.290.07-16-6-1014.114.3-0.2118.316.91.41
Keith Van Horn5354-0.40-0.10-0.310.12-18-4-1414.713.21.5618.617.11.55
Todd MacCulloch3737-0.46-0.04-0.430.12-20-2-1814.913.51.3417.618.2-0.59

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan73710.62-0.120.73-0.1526-43017.818.9-1.1814.213.70.51
Jahidi White31310.420.080.330.071210218.217.90.2416.312.93.41
Hubert Davis73720.390.110.280.041210217.520.1-2.6313.716.2-2.53
Popeye Jones66650.390.110.27-0.05157818.516.71.7614.213.90.27
Chris Whitney67650.380.120.260.00139417.718.7-0.9613.815.1-1.32
Tyronn Lue47440.110.39-0.27-0.27139418.717.31.3613.914.3-0.41
Etan Thomas14130.080.42-0.34-0.07517-1217.018.2-1.1815.014.01.04
Tyrone Nesby16150.060.44-0.37-0.02319-1618.617.90.7616.513.62.84
Brendan Haywood58560.060.44-0.39-0.15715-818.217.70.4813.016.0-3.01
Kwame Brown540.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1817.818.0-0.2114.014.1-0.12
Bobby Simmons540.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1817.818.0-0.2114.014.1-0.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 108, PHX 1250.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.4%
DET 86, POR 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
CHI 92, NYK 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,195.0%