NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	3.4 [1101]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +29.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.6 [821]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): -8.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	12	68%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	6	92%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.25	0.05	0.00	18	84%	0.30	1	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	71%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.4	14.8	26.1	1.7	26.0	123.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.6%

POR +2.2%

POR +0.5%

POR +4.9%

DET -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	POR	NBA	DET	POR	NBA
this game	19.4	15.5	15.5	104.9	124.1	101.6
season	16.8	16.0		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.8	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.9	21.5	20.8	16.8	19.4
POR	15.4	15.6	14.5	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	30	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	17.1	20.7	-3.61	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Danny Manning	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	13.4	20.8	-7.40	16.3	15.4	0.88
Corliss Williamson	35	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-9	1	21.6	17.8	3.81	16.9	14.4	2.54
Mehmet Okur	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-14	11	19.0	19.8	-0.82	16.0	15.0	0.95
Jon Barry	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-18	19	16.0	20.9	-4.91	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Tayshaun Prince	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-17	17	16.2	21.2	-5.03	16.1	15.2	0.86
Michael Curry	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-9	1	20.6	18.9	1.63	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Richard Hamilton	44	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-6	-5	20.9	17.6	3.33	16.0	15.1	0.88
Clifford Robinson	50	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	1	-19	20.3	18.0	2.28	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Ben Wallace	59	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.27	-27	10	-37	20.7	16.0	4.65	14.9	17.4	-2.54
Chauncey Billups	54	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.19	-25	8	-33	20.7	16.9	3.85	15.4	15.8	-0.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	50	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	0	17	14.6	16.9	-2.32	20.3	18.0	2.33
Bonzi Wells	55	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	-2	21	15.1	16.4	-1.28	21.0	16.6	4.35
Scottie Pippen	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	1	15	15.2	15.9	-0.70	20.9	17.5	3.42
Rasheed Wallace	49	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	4	9	14.6	16.9	-2.27	20.7	17.6	3.17
Derek Anderson	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	5	7	15.9	15.1	0.74	21.1	16.8	4.25
Antonio Daniels	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	14	-11	15.8	15.4	0.49	16.6	21.1	-4.47
Ruben Patterson	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	11	-5	15.7	15.5	0.16	20.4	19.1	1.35
Damon Stoudamire	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	16	-15	15.9	15.2	0.70	17.5	20.9	-3.42
Zach Randolph	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	15	-13	16.6	14.7	1.91	18.1	20.5	-2.39
Arvydas Sabonis	20	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.18	8	9	-1	17.7	14.9	2.84	20.0	19.2	0.77
Qyntel Woods	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	15.3	15.6	-0.28	12.3	20.9	-8.57
Jeff McInnis	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	16.6	15.4	1.14	11.2	20.4	-9.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 77, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 69, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 108, PHX 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%