NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	5.1 [815]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +20.6%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	1.9 [281]		LVP	Renaldo Balkman (NYK): -4.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	21	53%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	18	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	12	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.04	-0.01	16	71%	0.27	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.05
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	18	42%	0.04	4	-0.08	9	56%	-0.04
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	29.5	16.6	27.8	1.8	31.3	135.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.2%

NYK +0.7%

NYK +26.1%

CHI -6.1%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.4	97.9	109.6	104.5
season	14.5	15.7		103.1	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.9		106.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	13.9	16.4	13.2	14.8
NYK	14.3	14.9	18.7	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	11.5	14.9	-3.41	15.5	15.8	-0.30
P.J. Brown	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	17.3	14.0	3.35	16.1	15.7	0.44
Michael Sweetney	13	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-15	19	16.5	14.6	1.88	20.5	15.0	5.52
Tyrus Thomas	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-13	15	12.6	15.1	-2.50	19.7	15.2	4.53
Thabo Sefolosha	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-4	-3	13.5	15.2	-1.70	13.9	16.3	-2.35
Ben Gordon	55	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	14.5	15.3	-0.84	16.4	14.9	1.47
Chris Duhon	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	14.3	15.7	-1.38	16.5	14.7	1.85
Luol Deng	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.06	15.8	15.6	0.23
Ben Wallace	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	4	-19	14.5	16.0	-1.48	14.9	18.4	-3.46
Kirk Hinrich	78	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	1	-13	15.0	14.2	0.71	15.3	17.8	-2.52
Andres Nocioni	63	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	9	-29	15.8	12.9	2.89	14.8	17.7	-2.93

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-9	29	14.9	20.7	-5.78	15.2	12.5	2.68
Jamal Crawford	93	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-1	13	15.9	9.0	6.87	14.5	30.5	-16.00
David Lee	68	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-3	17	16.3	14.4	1.95	15.4	13.3	2.13
Eddy Curry	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	2	7	16.5	13.8	2.72	15.5	13.0	2.51
Renaldo Balkman	57	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	5	1	15.8	15.9	-0.11	14.5	15.3	-0.76
Channing Frye	58	58	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	10	-9	15.2	16.8	-1.68	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Kelvin Cato	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	13.5	16.1	-2.63	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Jerome James	13	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	14.1	16.1	-2.00	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Malik Rose	20	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.32	-15	26	-41	19.0	14.9	4.13	14.7	14.9	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 76, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
IND 95, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%