NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	5.2 [776]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +23.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	4.8 [132]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -14.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.09	-0.08	12	74%	0.27	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	15	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.02	0.02	10	54%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.10	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
John Crotty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	56%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	4	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.02	-0.03	16	59%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	17	45%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	7	60%	0.04	7	-0.18	6	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.02	-0.05	8	25%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	27.6	18.6	31.6	2.7	33.2	142.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.7%

POR -13.3%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +14.0%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.4	14.6	15.6	110.0	96.7	102.3
season	16.1	16.0		102.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	17.3	16.0	18.6	17.4
POR	14.4	15.5	16.0	12.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	0.79	-0.29	1.08	-0.21	34	-22	56	17.2	17.6	-0.41	14.8	14.4	0.36
Bryon Russell	49	50	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.27	30	-18	48	17.9	16.8	1.05	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Scott Padgett	50	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.11	23	-11	34	16.1	19.0	-2.96	14.8	14.3	0.49
John Crotty	44	43	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	-6	24	16.5	18.2	-1.76	14.7	14.5	0.19
Greg Ostertag	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-5	22	18.3	16.0	2.25	14.8	14.4	0.44
John Amaechi	13	12	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	5	2	11.8	18.3	-6.56	15.6	14.5	1.11
John Stockton	54	54	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	18	-24	17.9	16.7	1.19	14.7	14.5	0.20
Karl Malone	50	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.31	-10	22	-32	18.5	16.0	2.48	14.8	14.4	0.42
DeShawn Stevenson	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.34	-18	30	-48	17.1	17.5	-0.45	14.8	14.5	0.31
Jarron Collins	10	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.17	-13	25	-38	16.2	17.5	-1.33	15.3	14.5	0.74
Donyell Marshall	36	35	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.33	-22	34	-56	18.9	16.4	2.56	13.0	15.6	-2.61

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	26.0	14.5	11.51	6.5	17.6	-11.13
Dale Davis	68	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-17	22	14.1	16.3	-2.18	18.2	14.7	3.51
Rick Brunson	15	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-4	-4	15.0	14.5	0.45	16.1	17.6	-1.52
Bonzi Wells	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	-1	-10	14.6	14.7	-0.08	16.2	18.1	-1.88
Derek Anderson	73	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-18	24	13.8	18.1	-4.24	17.8	15.5	2.28
Rasheed Wallace	66	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-11	10	14.2	15.7	-1.54	18.8	13.5	5.23
Steve Kerr	5	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-2	-8	22.4	14.2	8.24	18.5	17.3	1.20
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.15	-13	1	-14	15.9	14.3	1.61	15.6	17.8	-2.21
Shawn Kemp	16	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	14.7	14.6	0.16	14.9	17.9	-3.00
Damon Stoudamire	81	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	-3	-6	14.6	14.4	0.20	17.3	18.4	-1.14
Ruben Patterson	71	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	-1	-10	15.2	12.5	2.66	17.0	18.6	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 129, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.05,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0	94.0%
TOR 120, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
CLE 103, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%