inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 95 Excitement3.9 [1009] MVPSteven Smith (SAS): +8.7%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.7 [919] LVPHakeem Olajuwon (TOR): -8.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.011170%0.091-0.021100%0.01
Tracy Murray0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.110.000.07881%0.0400.0000%0.00
Keon Clark0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.001258%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Eric Montross0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Bradley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001246%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Dell Curry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.010.051055%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04312%-0.031-0.01250%-0.00
Chris Childs-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.02-0.04275%0.034-0.0700%0.00
Vince Carter-0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.001030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.011041%-0.032-0.06250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.011168%0.111-0.02367%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.012253%0.0700.00989%0.02
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01667%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01762%0.072-0.04250%-0.01
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.012100%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Charles Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03859%0.052-0.021100%-0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03287%0.0100.00450%-0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.02961%0.064-0.0700%0.00
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01753%0.022-0.063100%0.02
Amal McCaskill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0020%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.226.516.526.42.424.3121.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +27.0%
SAS +12.5%
SAS +17.3%
TOR -10.5%
SAS +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORSASNBATORSASNBA
this game15.216.415.6103.3120.0102.3
season16.215.8100.3104.3
opponent15.715.698.0100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.315.416.513.815.2
SAS16.717.314.817.016.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Bradley1413-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-161914.015.5-1.4615.816.5-0.67
Eric Montross3836-0.03-0.470.43-0.185-182314.915.5-0.5416.416.4-0.06
Vince Carter3939-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-11915.515.10.4317.016.01.02
Tracy Murray3534-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-141515.415.20.2116.616.30.27
Morris Peterson6464-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-8315.115.5-0.3716.715.80.81
Jerome Williams2120-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-2-916.414.91.4816.916.30.61
Keon Clark5555-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-6-115.215.3-0.1016.516.30.18
Dell Curry2826-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-5-8314.115.7-1.6315.816.7-0.81
Chris Childs4545-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.08-9-4-514.915.6-0.6416.216.7-0.53
Hakeem Olajuwon5656-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-163-1915.415.00.3516.316.6-0.22
Alvin Williams6562-0.520.01-0.530.04-196-2515.813.82.0716.217.0-0.84

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson54540.420.080.34-0.1419-62516.316.6-0.2215.115.5-0.44
Tony Parker57600.370.130.240.08103716.616.10.5714.816.0-1.12
Malik Rose37370.340.160.180.02112916.816.20.6115.515.10.46
Steven Smith59610.340.160.18-0.011211116.017.3-1.3215.514.80.70
Bruce Bowen51520.260.240.020.0576116.516.40.0715.115.4-0.33
Tim Duncan61630.240.26-0.030.1249-516.616.10.4715.315.10.20
Antonio Daniels33340.230.27-0.050.0567-116.516.40.1015.115.3-0.15
Charles Smith37370.170.33-0.150.14112-1117.116.01.0715.115.3-0.17
Terry Porter33320.130.37-0.240.04310-716.116.6-0.5716.014.81.12
Cherokee Parks12130.000.50-0.500.15-518-2316.716.40.3813.515.5-1.98
Amal McCaskill1617-0.000.50-0.500.09-316-1915.116.7-1.6516.315.01.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 84, ORL 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SAC 95, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
LAC 98, GSW 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%